The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
$12,652 Vol.
$12,652 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$12,652 Vol.
$12,652 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,389 Vol.
86%
Republican Party
$6,262 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,652Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,652Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's shift toward Democratic lean following redistricting under Proposition 50, combined with the open-seat primary results, drives trader consensus toward a Democratic general election victory. Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary, where San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond advanced as the leading Republican while Councilmember Marni von Wilpert led Democrats ahead of Ammar Campa-Najjar. Voter registration now favors Democrats 37% to 33%, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Lean or Tilt Democratic. The November 3 general election timeline leaves limited opportunity for major shifts absent significant late developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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