Skip to main content

Para mag-trade sa US, pumunta sa polymarket.us

icon for CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)
Politika·Midterms

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)

icon for CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)
Politika·Midterms

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket

$18,611 Vol.

Polymarket

$18,611 Vol.

Angela Gonzales-Torres

$6,416 Vol.

77%

Jimmy Gomez

$12,195 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 34th Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to the November general election in this solidly Democratic Los Angeles seat. Recent polling from early September shows Gonzales-Torres holding a narrow lead or statistical tie, reflecting trader consensus favoring her at 76.5% implied probability versus Gomez at 21%. Key drivers include a House ethics investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct against the incumbent, which her campaign has emphasized, alongside endorsements from progressive groups and figures highlighting generational change and opposition to certain PAC influences. Fundraising data and voter turnout patterns in the heavily Democratic district further shape assessments of the race's trajectory ahead of Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,611
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 9, 2026, 10:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In California's 34th Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Jimmy Gomez and challenger Angela Gonzales-Torres advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary to the November general election in this solidly Democratic Los Angeles seat. Recent polling from early September shows Gonzales-Torres holding a narrow lead or statistical tie, reflecting trader consensus favoring her at 76.5% implied probability versus Gomez at 21%. Key drivers include a House ethics investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct against the incumbent, which her campaign has emphasized, alongside endorsements from progressive groups and figures highlighting generational change and opposition to certain PAC influences. Fundraising data and voter turnout patterns in the heavily Democratic district further shape assessments of the race's trajectory ahead of Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,611
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 9, 2026, 10:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Luz Rivas win the CA-29 House seat?

Will Luz Rivas win the CA-29 House seat?

88%
icon for Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?

98%
icon for Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?

Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?

85%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Angela Gonzales-Torres" sa 77%, sinusundan ng "Jimmy Gomez" sa 22%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 77¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)" ay naka-generate ng $18.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 9, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)" ay "Angela Gonzales-Torres" sa 77%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jimmy Gomez" sa 22%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.