Scott Wiener holds the leading position in the CA-11 general election market at 64.5% implied probability following his 40.7% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, ahead of Connie Chan at 29.7%. Wiener's support spanned diverse San Francisco precincts, including higher-income and lower-income areas, bolstered by his state Senate record on housing production legislation and endorsements from figures such as Attorney General Rob Bonta. Chan advanced with strength in western neighborhoods tied to her opposition to certain upzoning measures. Recent developments include Wiener's September 2026 calls, alongside other lawmakers, for stricter oversight of frontier AI development after reported incidents, reinforcing his profile on tech regulation. The solidly Democratic district and November 3 ballot structure limit realistic paths for other candidates listed in the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$15,713 Vol.
$15,713 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
65%
Connie Chan
34%
$15,713 Vol.
$15,713 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
$4,064 Vol.
65%
Connie Chan
$11,649 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds the leading position in the CA-11 general election market at 64.5% implied probability following his 40.7% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, ahead of Connie Chan at 29.7%. Wiener's support spanned diverse San Francisco precincts, including higher-income and lower-income areas, bolstered by his state Senate record on housing production legislation and endorsements from figures such as Attorney General Rob Bonta. Chan advanced with strength in western neighborhoods tied to her opposition to certain upzoning measures. Recent developments include Wiener's September 2026 calls, alongside other lawmakers, for stricter oversight of frontier AI development after reported incidents, reinforcing his profile on tech regulation. The solidly Democratic district and November 3 ballot structure limit realistic paths for other candidates listed in the market.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Volume
$15,713Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds the leading position in the CA-11 general election market at 64.5% implied probability following his 40.7% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, ahead of Connie Chan at 29.7%. Wiener's support spanned diverse San Francisco precincts, including higher-income and lower-income areas, bolstered by his state Senate record on housing production legislation and endorsements from figures such as Attorney General Rob Bonta. Chan advanced with strength in western neighborhoods tied to her opposition to certain upzoning measures. Recent developments include Wiener's September 2026 calls, alongside other lawmakers, for stricter oversight of frontier AI development after reported incidents, reinforcing his profile on tech regulation. The solidly Democratic district and November 3 ballot structure limit realistic paths for other candidates listed in the market.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,713Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scott Wiener holds the leading position in the CA-11 general election market at 64.5% implied probability following his 40.7% finish in the June 2026 top-two primary, ahead of Connie Chan at 29.7%. Wiener's support spanned diverse San Francisco precincts, including higher-income and lower-income areas, bolstered by his state Senate record on housing production legislation and endorsements from figures such as Attorney General Rob Bonta. Chan advanced with strength in western neighborhoods tied to her opposition to certain upzoning measures. Recent developments include Wiener's September 2026 calls, alongside other lawmakers, for stricter oversight of frontier AI development after reported incidents, reinforcing his profile on tech regulation. The solidly Democratic district and November 3 ballot structure limit realistic paths for other candidates listed in the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong