Recent moderation in Argentine inflation to a 14-month low of 1.7% monthly in August 2026, combined with the BCRA’s managed float and inflation-linked crawl under the Milei administration, has kept the official USD/ARS rate near 1,510 and anchored market-implied odds for a year-end close below 1,600 at 42%. Analyst consensus from FocusEconomics and futures markets clusters around 1,611–1,645, while higher brackets capture risks from subdued reserves accumulation, softening GDP growth, and persistent current-account pressures. The near-even split with the 1,600–1,700 band reflects uncertainty over whether export inflows and fiscal discipline can sustain the gradual depreciation pace through December.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$21,732 Vol.
$21,732 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
41%
1600.00–1699.99
34%
1700.00–1799.99
14%
1800.00–1899.99
6%
1900.00–1999.99
1%
2000.00+
4%
$21,732 Vol.
$21,732 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
<1600.00
$2,465 Vol.
41%
1600.00–1699.99
$2,025 Vol.
34%
1700.00–1799.99
$2,198 Vol.
14%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,697 Vol.
6%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,576 Vol.
1%
2000.00+
$1,772 Vol.
4%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent moderation in Argentine inflation to a 14-month low of 1.7% monthly in August 2026, combined with the BCRA’s managed float and inflation-linked crawl under the Milei administration, has kept the official USD/ARS rate near 1,510 and anchored market-implied odds for a year-end close below 1,600 at 42%. Analyst consensus from FocusEconomics and futures markets clusters around 1,611–1,645, while higher brackets capture risks from subdued reserves accumulation, softening GDP growth, and persistent current-account pressures. The near-even split with the 1,600–1,700 band reflects uncertainty over whether export inflows and fiscal discipline can sustain the gradual depreciation pace through December.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$21,732Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent moderation in Argentine inflation to a 14-month low of 1.7% monthly in August 2026, combined with the BCRA’s managed float and inflation-linked crawl under the Milei administration, has kept the official USD/ARS rate near 1,510 and anchored market-implied odds for a year-end close below 1,600 at 42%. Analyst consensus from FocusEconomics and futures markets clusters around 1,611–1,645, while higher brackets capture risks from subdued reserves accumulation, softening GDP growth, and persistent current-account pressures. The near-even split with the 1,600–1,700 band reflects uncertainty over whether export inflows and fiscal discipline can sustain the gradual depreciation pace through December.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,732Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent moderation in Argentine inflation to a 14-month low of 1.7% monthly in August 2026, combined with the BCRA’s managed float and inflation-linked crawl under the Milei administration, has kept the official USD/ARS rate near 1,510 and anchored market-implied odds for a year-end close below 1,600 at 42%. Analyst consensus from FocusEconomics and futures markets clusters around 1,611–1,645, while higher brackets capture risks from subdued reserves accumulation, softening GDP growth, and persistent current-account pressures. The near-even split with the 1,600–1,700 band reflects uncertainty over whether export inflows and fiscal discipline can sustain the gradual depreciation pace through December.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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