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Teknolohiya·Claude 5

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

icon for Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Teknolohiya·Claude 5

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$367,786 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$367,786 Vol.

Polymarket

45%+

$166,096 Vol.

39%

50%+

$33,469 Vol.

17%

55%+

$26,310 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Claude Fable 5’s recent deployment with adaptive reasoning and fallback mechanisms has lifted Anthropic’s top score on the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard to 53.3 percent as of mid-June 2026, ahead of Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and GPT-5.4 variants. This positions the model well for the 50 percent threshold while leaving the 55 percent outcome more contested ahead of the June 30 cutoff. Traders are watching for any final leaderboard updates, extended-thinking optimizations, or decontamination adjustments Anthropic may submit in the remaining days, alongside potential competitive pushes from Google or OpenAI that could influence relative standings on the 2,500-question expert benchmark. The tight timeline and history of incremental gains on this saturated evaluation mean small technical tweaks could still shift whether higher brackets clear before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$367,786
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Claude Fable 5’s recent deployment with adaptive reasoning and fallback mechanisms has lifted Anthropic’s top score on the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard to 53.3 percent as of mid-June 2026, ahead of Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and GPT-5.4 variants. This positions the model well for the 50 percent threshold while leaving the 55 percent outcome more contested ahead of the June 30 cutoff. Traders are watching for any final leaderboard updates, extended-thinking optimizations, or decontamination adjustments Anthropic may submit in the remaining days, alongside potential competitive pushes from Google or OpenAI that could influence relative standings on the 2,500-question expert benchmark. The tight timeline and history of incremental gains on this saturated evaluation mean small technical tweaks could still shift whether higher brackets clear before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$367,786
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "30%+" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "35%+" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" ay naka-generate ng $367.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 30, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" ay "30%+" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "35%+" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.