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icon for Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?

icon for Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?

$134,525 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$134,525 Vol.

Polymarket

May 31

$133,008 Vol.

No

June 30

$1,517 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham, the Labour mayor of Greater Manchester since 2017 with successive re-elections in 2021 and 2024, faces an immediate test through the Makerfield parliamentary by-election on 18 June 2026. Victory there would disqualify him from the mayoral role under combined authority rules, triggering a mayoral by-election as early as late July 2026 to fill the vacancy until the scheduled 2028 contest. The move aligns with his confirmed interest in a potential Labour leadership contest, requiring an MP seat first amid ongoing party tensions. Defeat would allow him to complete his term, keeping the mayoralty stable absent other developments. Traders monitor the by-election result and any subsequent leadership maneuvering as primary near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$134,525
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 1, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham, the Labour mayor of Greater Manchester since 2017 with successive re-elections in 2021 and 2024, faces an immediate test through the Makerfield parliamentary by-election on 18 June 2026. Victory there would disqualify him from the mayoral role under combined authority rules, triggering a mayoral by-election as early as late July 2026 to fill the vacancy until the scheduled 2028 contest. The move aligns with his confirmed interest in a potential Labour leadership contest, requiring an MP seat first amid ongoing party tensions. Defeat would allow him to complete his term, keeping the mayoralty stable absent other developments. Traders monitor the by-election result and any subsequent leadership maneuvering as primary near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$134,525
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 1, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "June 30" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "May 31" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?" ay naka-generate ng $134.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?" ay "June 30" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "May 31" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.