Redistricting after a Supreme Court ruling on the Voting Rights Act shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republican performance, with the new lines projected to favor the GOP nominee by double digits based on recent presidential voting. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures faces Republican state Rep. Rhett Marques, who secured the nomination in the August special primary with endorsements from President Donald Trump and the NRCC. Analysts at the Cook Political Report rate the seat Likely Republican, while Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved it to Lean Republican, citing Figures’ incumbency and Democratic polling that has shown the race closer at times. National party resources are flowing to both sides ahead of the November 3 general election, with recent campaign exchanges focusing on taxes, energy costs, and voting records. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s structural Republican tilt and limited time remaining for shifts.