South Africa leads Group D in the AFCON 2027 qualifiers with a perfect six points from two matches, including a 2-1 victory over Guinea and a 5-0 rout of Eritrea that highlighted strong attacking output and defensive control under coach Pitso Mosimane. Guinea sits second on three points after a 1-0 win against Kenya, while the co-hosts Kenya and Eritrea each have one point from a draw and subsequent losses. These results position South Africa as the clear frontrunner for the group win among non-host sides, reflected in the 71.5% trader consensus, with Guinea at 25.5% and lower probabilities for Kenya and Eritrea. Remaining fixtures, including November clashes, will test whether Guinea can close the gap or if South Africa maintains momentum through superior recent form and squad depth.