With leading ranges of 180-199 tweets (29.5% implied probability) and 200-219 (23.5%) running closely, traders are factoring in Elon Musk's established X activity patterns during an ordinary week without major catalysts. Daily volumes typically hover in the 20-30 range based on platform engagement, business updates from Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI, and real-time replies, though spikes from viral threads or controversies can shift totals. The tight spread with 160-179 (18.5%) highlights sensitivity to mid-period developments like product announcements or news cycles that could accelerate or moderate posting. Resolution depends on verified tweet counts through August 11, underscoring the market's focus on verifiable platform metrics over speculation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
180-199 30%
200-219 24%
160-179 19%
220-239 12%
$834,977 Vol.
$834,977 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
5%
160-179
19%
180-199
30%
200-219
24%
220-239
12%
240-259
5%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 30%
200-219 24%
160-179 19%
220-239 12%
$834,977 Vol.
$834,977 Vol.
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
5%
160-179
19%
180-199
30%
200-219
24%
220-239
12%
240-259
5%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...With leading ranges of 180-199 tweets (29.5% implied probability) and 200-219 (23.5%) running closely, traders are factoring in Elon Musk's established X activity patterns during an ordinary week without major catalysts. Daily volumes typically hover in the 20-30 range based on platform engagement, business updates from Tesla, SpaceX, or xAI, and real-time replies, though spikes from viral threads or controversies can shift totals. The tight spread with 160-179 (18.5%) highlights sensitivity to mid-period developments like product announcements or news cycles that could accelerate or moderate posting. Resolution depends on verified tweet counts through August 11, underscoring the market's focus on verifiable platform metrics over speculation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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