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icon for 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
Politika·BARMM

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

icon for 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner
Politika·BARMM

2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner

BFP 56%

UBJP 43%

RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY 1.0%

Election Postponed/Canceled <1%

Polymarket

$71,477 Vol.

BFP 56%

UBJP 43%

RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY 1.0%

Election Postponed/Canceled <1%

Polymarket

$71,477 Vol.

BFP

$13,359 Vol.

56%

UBJP

$44,016 Vol.

43%

RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY

$604 Vol.

1%

Election Postponed/Canceled

$753 Vol.

1%

MUSHAWARA

$673 Vol.

1%

BEST PARTY

$681 Vol.

1%

PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY

$561 Vol.

1%

LBIAA

$800 Vol.

1%

ISLPI

$640 Vol.

<1%

BGC

$711 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUPA

$600 Vol.

<1%

BAPA

$711 Vol.

<1%

MAHARDIKA

$580 Vol.

<1%

C4P

$658 Vol.

<1%

RSEU

$581 Vol.

<1%

THE ROYALS

$564 Vol.

<1%

ROHOSUMA

$1,009 Vol.

<1%

DTLO

$575 Vol.

<1%

ISAMA

$615 Vol.

<1%

MORO AKO

$615 Vol.

<1%

PBB

$563 Vol.

<1%

TPWC

$505 Vol.

<1%

RSL

$460 Vol.

<1%

ABOT

$643 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections of prominent leaders from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP), including figures such as Maguindanao del Sur Representative Esmael Mangudadatu in July 2026, have strengthened BFP positioning ahead of the September 14 election. BFP candidates running unopposed in key Maguindanao del Norte districts further signal organizational momentum in the first regular parliamentary vote. The UBJP, the MILF-aligned party, retains core support but faces fragmentation amid shifting alignments. Amendments lowering party registration thresholds and the electoral threshold to 2.5% have expanded the field to 13 regional parliamentary parties, intensifying competition for the 40 party-list seats. These realignments and the expanded contest keep implied probabilities tight between leading contenders, with trader consensus reflecting ongoing coalition-building and district-level dynamics that could shift with further endorsements or alliance announcements before September.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$71,477
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections of prominent leaders from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP), including figures such as Maguindanao del Sur Representative Esmael Mangudadatu in July 2026, have strengthened BFP positioning ahead of the September 14 election. BFP candidates running unopposed in key Maguindanao del Norte districts further signal organizational momentum in the first regular parliamentary vote. The UBJP, the MILF-aligned party, retains core support but faces fragmentation amid shifting alignments. Amendments lowering party registration thresholds and the electoral threshold to 2.5% have expanded the field to 13 regional parliamentary parties, intensifying competition for the 40 party-list seats. These realignments and the expanded contest keep implied probabilities tight between leading contenders, with trader consensus reflecting ongoing coalition-building and district-level dynamics that could shift with further endorsements or alliance announcements before September.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.

If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$71,477
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 24 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "BFP" sa 56%, sinusundan ng "UBJP" sa 43%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 56¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner" ay naka-generate ng $71.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 16, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner," i-browse ang 24 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner" ay "BFP" sa 56%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 56% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "UBJP" sa 43%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2026 Bangsamoro Parliament Election: Party Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.