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Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Ireland General Election

icon for Ireland General Election
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Ireland General Election

Fianna Fáil (FF) 99.8%

Other <1%

Sinn Féin (SF) <1%

Fine Gael (FG) <1%

Polymarket

$1,546,349 Vol.

Fianna Fáil (FF) 99.8%

Other <1%

Sinn Féin (SF) <1%

Fine Gael (FG) <1%

Polymarket

$1,546,349 Vol.

icon for Sinn Féin (SF)

Sinn Féin (SF)

$387,796 Vol.

No

icon for Fianna Fáil (FF)

Fianna Fáil (FF)

$540,920 Vol.

Yes

icon for Fine Gael (FG)

Fine Gael (FG)

$463,430 Vol.

No

icon for Other

Other

$154,202 Vol.

No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fianna Fáil (FF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Fianna Fáil (FF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fine Gael (FG) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Fine Gael (FG), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than SF, FF, or FG wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by each individual party, not any coalition or alliance of which that party may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election.

If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).
Volume
$1,546,349
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 29, 2024
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2024, 11:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fianna Fáil (FF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Fianna Fáil (FF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fine Gael (FG) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Fine Gael (FG), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any party other than SF, FF, or FG wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by each individual party, not any coalition or alliance of which that party may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election.

If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).
Volume
$1,546,349
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 29, 2024
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 12, 2024, 11:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinn Féin (SF) wins the most seats in the Dáil Éireann (Ireland's lower house) as a result of the next Irish general election. If voting in the next Irish general election does not occur by December 31, 2024 GMT, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Sinn Féin (SF), not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Irish Government, specially the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ireland General Election" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Fianna Fáil (FF)" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Sinn Féin (SF)" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ireland General Election" ay naka-generate ng $1.5 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 12, 2024. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ireland General Election," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ireland General Election" ay "Fianna Fáil (FF)" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sinn Féin (SF)" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ireland General Election" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.