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2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
38¢
41.7¢

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7¢
8.5¢

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
41.3¢
29¢

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
81.5¢
86¢

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?
16¢
15.5¢

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3.2¢
2.5¢

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
18.4¢
22.5¢

Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?

Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?
12¢
39.5¢

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0.6¢
0.4¢

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?
15¢
2.8¢

Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?
