The current trader consensus assigns the highest probability to "Other" at 50%, followed by Iran at 34%, reflecting broad uncertainty over which AFC qualifier will post the weakest group-stage showing at the 2026 World Cup. Recent third-round qualifier results positioned Jordan and Iraq as elevated risks after their narrow qualification paths, with Jordan securing a first-ever berth via a dramatic final-matchday surge and Iraq advancing through playoffs after inconsistent results. Iran, despite topping its group, endured late losses that highlight potential vulnerabilities against stronger opposition. Japan and South Korea maintain lower implied probabilities given their dominant qualifying campaigns and historical depth, while debutants and mid-tier sides like Uzbekistan carry realistic upset potential in what remains a tightly contested field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWorld Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation
World Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation
Iran 34%
Jordan 28%
Iraq 25%
Japan 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
Australia
10%
Iran
34%
Iraq
25%
Japan
23%
Jordan
28%
Qatar
9%
Saudi Arabia
10%
South Korea
6%
Uzbekistan
14%
Iran 34%
Jordan 28%
Iraq 25%
Japan 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
Australia
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
Iran
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
Iraq
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
Japan
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
Jordan
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
Qatar
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
Saudi Arabia
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
South Korea
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
Uzbekistan
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current trader consensus assigns the highest probability to "Other" at 50%, followed by Iran at 34%, reflecting broad uncertainty over which AFC qualifier will post the weakest group-stage showing at the 2026 World Cup. Recent third-round qualifier results positioned Jordan and Iraq as elevated risks after their narrow qualification paths, with Jordan securing a first-ever berth via a dramatic final-matchday surge and Iraq advancing through playoffs after inconsistent results. Iran, despite topping its group, endured late losses that highlight potential vulnerabilities against stronger opposition. Japan and South Korea maintain lower implied probabilities given their dominant qualifying campaigns and historical depth, while debutants and mid-tier sides like Uzbekistan carry realistic upset potential in what remains a tightly contested field.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current trader consensus assigns the highest probability to "Other" at 50%, followed by Iran at 34%, reflecting broad uncertainty over which AFC qualifier will post the weakest group-stage showing at the 2026 World Cup. Recent third-round qualifier results positioned Jordan and Iraq as elevated risks after their narrow qualification paths, with Jordan securing a first-ever berth via a dramatic final-matchday surge and Iraq advancing through playoffs after inconsistent results. Iran, despite topping its group, endured late losses that highlight potential vulnerabilities against stronger opposition. Japan and South Korea maintain lower implied probabilities given their dominant qualifying campaigns and historical depth, while debutants and mid-tier sides like Uzbekistan carry realistic upset potential in what remains a tightly contested field.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The current trader consensus assigns the highest probability to "Other" at 50%, followed by Iran at 34%, reflecting broad uncertainty over which AFC qualifier will post the weakest group-stage showing at the 2026 World Cup. Recent third-round qualifier results positioned Jordan and Iraq as elevated risks after their narrow qualification paths, with Jordan securing a first-ever berth via a dramatic final-matchday surge and Iraq advancing through playoffs after inconsistent results. Iran, despite topping its group, endured late losses that highlight potential vulnerabilities against stronger opposition. Japan and South Korea maintain lower implied probabilities given their dominant qualifying campaigns and historical depth, while debutants and mid-tier sides like Uzbekistan carry realistic upset potential in what remains a tightly contested field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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