David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCrowley <1% 100.0%
Hong 6%+ <1%
Hong 5–6% <1%
Hong 4–5% <1%
$110,072 ปริมาณ
$110,072 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
Hong 6%+
No
Hong 5–6%
No
Hong 4–5%
No
Hong 3–4%
No
Hong 2–3%
No
Hong 1–2%
No
Hong <1%
No
Crowley <1%
Yes
Crowley 1–2%
No
Crowley 2–3%
No
Crowley 3–4%
No
Crowley 4–5%
No
Crowley 5–6%
No
Crowley 6%+
No
Crowley <1% 100.0%
Hong 6%+ <1%
Hong 5–6% <1%
Hong 4–5% <1%
$110,072 ปริมาณ
$110,072 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
Hong 6%+
$13,198 ปริมาณ
No
Hong 5–6%
$3,714 ปริมาณ
No
Hong 4–5%
$3,377 ปริมาณ
No
Hong 3–4%
$11,011 ปริมาณ
No
Hong 2–3%
$2,738 ปริมาณ
No
Hong 1–2%
$8,472 ปริมาณ
No
Hong <1%
$4,537 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley <1%
$19,064 ปริมาณ
Yes
Crowley 1–2%
$14,039 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 2–3%
$9,988 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 3–4%
$10,234 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 4–5%
$2,286 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 5–6%
$3,312 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 6%+
$4,102 ปริมาณ
No
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,072วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,072วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 by a margin under one percentage point against Francesca Hong, driving the market's near-certain pricing on that bracket. His late re-entry backed by outgoing Governor Tony Evers, combined with strong performance in Milwaukee County turnout areas, overcame earlier polling deficits despite Hong's progressive base support. Multiple candidates had withdrawn beforehand, consolidating the field into a two-way contest that produced the narrow result. With vote totals largely finalized and no major disputes reported, scenarios capable of shifting the outcome remain limited to formal recounts or certification challenges, both of which appear unlikely at this stage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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