David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCrowley 0.4–0.6% 100.0%
Hong 1%+ <1%
Hong 0.8–1% <1%
Hong 0.6–0.8% <1%
$221,729 ปริมาณ
$221,729 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
No
Hong 0.8–1%
No
Hong 0.6–0.8%
No
Hong 0.4–0.6%
No
Hong 0.2–0.4%
No
Hong <0.2%
No
Crowley <0.2%
No
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
No
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
Yes
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
No
Crowley 0.8–1%
No
Crowley 1–1.2%
No
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
No
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
No
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
No
Crowley 1.8–2%
No
Crowley 2%+
No
Crowley 0.4–0.6% 100.0%
Hong 1%+ <1%
Hong 0.8–1% <1%
Hong 0.6–0.8% <1%
$221,729 ปริมาณ
$221,729 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
$319 ปริมาณ
No
Hong 0.8–1%
$232 ปริมาณ
No
Hong 0.6–0.8%
$694 ปริมาณ
No
Hong 0.4–0.6%
$716 ปริมาณ
No
Hong 0.2–0.4%
$749 ปริมาณ
No
Hong <0.2%
$1,149 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley <0.2%
$38,742 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$42,044 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$42,753 ปริมาณ
Yes
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$31,381 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 0.8–1%
$27,577 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 1–1.2%
$30,077 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$1,194 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$1,140 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$1,181 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 1.8–2%
$1,261 ปริมาณ
No
Crowley 2%+
$521 ปริมาณ
No
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$221,729วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$221,729วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย