Recent public appearances and rally footage show Donald Trump occasionally breaking into signature rhythmic movements that spark viral clips, yet daily markets on whether he will dance on a given date reflect low trader consensus around 20% implied probability for Yes. His packed schedule of speeches and events often lacks the musical cues or stage setups that trigger these moments, while historical patterns from resolved markets indicate dancing tends to occur only at high-energy political gatherings or unexpected interactions rather than routine outings. Upcoming campaign stops and media events through late May could shift sentiment if footage emerges, though traders weigh the unpredictability of live moments against the rarity of deliberate on-camera dancing in non-festival settings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$304,890 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 19
81%
May 20
21%
May 21
19%
May 22
19%
May 23
19%
May 24
18%
May 25
19%
May 26
19%
May 27
18%
May 28
16%
May 29
18%
May 30
19%
May 31
44%
$304,890 ปริมาณ
May 19
$46 ปริมาณ
81%
May 20
$110 ปริมาณ
21%
May 21
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
May 22
$2 ปริมาณ
19%
May 23
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
May 24
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
May 25
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
May 26
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
May 27
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
May 28
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
May 29
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
May 30
$6 ปริมาณ
19%
May 31
$24 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.Recent public appearances and rally footage show Donald Trump occasionally breaking into signature rhythmic movements that spark viral clips, yet daily markets on whether he will dance on a given date reflect low trader consensus around 20% implied probability for Yes. His packed schedule of speeches and events often lacks the musical cues or stage setups that trigger these moments, while historical patterns from resolved markets indicate dancing tends to occur only at high-energy political gatherings or unexpected interactions rather than routine outings. Upcoming campaign stops and media events through late May could shift sentiment if footage emerges, though traders weigh the unpredictability of live moments against the rarity of deliberate on-camera dancing in non-festival settings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$304,890วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.Recent public appearances and rally footage show Donald Trump occasionally breaking into signature rhythmic movements that spark viral clips, yet daily markets on whether he will dance on a given date reflect low trader consensus around 20% implied probability for Yes. His packed schedule of speeches and events often lacks the musical cues or stage setups that trigger these moments, while historical patterns from resolved markets indicate dancing tends to occur only at high-energy political gatherings or unexpected interactions rather than routine outings. Upcoming campaign stops and media events through late May could shift sentiment if footage emerges, though traders weigh the unpredictability of live moments against the rarity of deliberate on-camera dancing in non-festival settings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.
This market will resolve based on video footage.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$304,890วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent public appearances and rally footage show Donald Trump occasionally breaking into signature rhythmic movements that spark viral clips, yet daily markets on whether he will dance on a given date reflect low trader consensus around 20% implied probability for Yes. His packed schedule of speeches and events often lacks the musical cues or stage setups that trigger these moments, while historical patterns from resolved markets indicate dancing tends to occur only at high-energy political gatherings or unexpected interactions rather than routine outings. Upcoming campaign stops and media events through late May could shift sentiment if footage emerges, though traders weigh the unpredictability of live moments against the rarity of deliberate on-camera dancing in non-festival settings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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