OpenAI CEO Sam Altman testified on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company, defending OpenAI's transition from nonprofit to capped-profit structure and rebutting Musk's claims of breached founding agreements. This direct courtroom appearance—where Altman detailed Musk's alleged demands for majority control and integration with Tesla—has solidified trader consensus at a 99.6% implied probability for Yes, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets backed by real capital. The high confidence stems from verified fulfillment of market criteria amid the ongoing trial, with minimal uncertainty; realistic scenarios like procedural disqualifications or narrow resolution interpretations remain improbable, though Microsoft's Satya Nadella and others are slated to testify next week, potentially influencing broader AI governance debates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$13,377 ปริมาณ
$13,377 ปริมาณ
$13,377 ปริมาณ
$13,377 ปริมาณ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman testified on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company, defending OpenAI's transition from nonprofit to capped-profit structure and rebutting Musk's claims of breached founding agreements. This direct courtroom appearance—where Altman detailed Musk's alleged demands for majority control and integration with Tesla—has solidified trader consensus at a 99.6% implied probability for Yes, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets backed by real capital. The high confidence stems from verified fulfillment of market criteria amid the ongoing trial, with minimal uncertainty; realistic scenarios like procedural disqualifications or narrow resolution interpretations remain improbable, though Microsoft's Satya Nadella and others are slated to testify next week, potentially influencing broader AI governance debates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,377ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI CEO Sam Altman testified on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company, defending OpenAI's transition from nonprofit to capped-profit structure and rebutting Musk's claims of breached founding agreements. This direct courtroom appearance—where Altman detailed Musk's alleged demands for majority control and integration with Tesla—has solidified trader consensus at a 99.6% implied probability for Yes, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets backed by real capital. The high confidence stems from verified fulfillment of market criteria amid the ongoing trial, with minimal uncertainty; realistic scenarios like procedural disqualifications or narrow resolution interpretations remain improbable, though Microsoft's Satya Nadella and others are slated to testify next week, potentially influencing broader AI governance debates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,377ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI CEO Sam Altman testified on May 12 in Elon Musk's federal lawsuit against the company, defending OpenAI's transition from nonprofit to capped-profit structure and rebutting Musk's claims of breached founding agreements. This direct courtroom appearance—where Altman detailed Musk's alleged demands for majority control and integration with Tesla—has solidified trader consensus at a 99.6% implied probability for Yes, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets backed by real capital. The high confidence stems from verified fulfillment of market criteria amid the ongoing trial, with minimal uncertainty; realistic scenarios like procedural disqualifications or narrow resolution interpretations remain improbable, though Microsoft's Satya Nadella and others are slated to testify next week, potentially influencing broader AI governance debates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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