Russian attempts to infiltrate Ternuvate, a rural settlement in Zaporizhzhia Oblast roughly 10-15 km from the line of contact, have centered on small sabotage groups exploiting weather for brief entries. In late January 2026, Russian forces claimed capture after planting flags and releasing drone footage, but Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces conducted reconnaissance and cleared the area within hours, eliminating or capturing the infiltrators. Ukrainian control has held since, with reports confirming the settlement remained under Kyiv's authority into March 2026 amid broader fighting in the sector. Ongoing Russian pressure through incremental advances and infiltration tactics continues, though Ukrainian forces have conducted clearing operations and regained ground elsewhere along the front. Resolution of related prediction markets depends on verified territorial shading on ISW or comparable maps showing any Russian presence within specified deadlines.