OpenAI has maintained a rapid release cadence in 2026, shipping multiple frontier models in the GPT-5 series including GPT-5.4 in early March and GPT-5.5 in late April, followed by the GPT-5.5 Instant variant in early May that became the new ChatGPT default. These updates integrate advanced reasoning, agentic coding via Codex capabilities, and tool-use improvements, reflecting a shift toward unified, high-capability systems that outperform prior versions on benchmarks for complex tasks. This pace stems from competitive pressure in the large language model space against labs like Anthropic and Google, alongside internal focus on agentic workflows and reduced error rates. Traders monitoring resolution thresholds should watch for any official announcements on further iterations or a potential GPT-6 preview, as timelines can shift with scaling challenges or strategic pivots.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$13,328 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 31
10%
June 30
86%
September 30
96%
$13,328 ปริมาณ
May 31
$2,275 ปริมาณ
10%
June 30
$2,812 ปริมาณ
86%
September 30
$8,241 ปริมาณ
96%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has maintained a rapid release cadence in 2026, shipping multiple frontier models in the GPT-5 series including GPT-5.4 in early March and GPT-5.5 in late April, followed by the GPT-5.5 Instant variant in early May that became the new ChatGPT default. These updates integrate advanced reasoning, agentic coding via Codex capabilities, and tool-use improvements, reflecting a shift toward unified, high-capability systems that outperform prior versions on benchmarks for complex tasks. This pace stems from competitive pressure in the large language model space against labs like Anthropic and Google, alongside internal focus on agentic workflows and reduced error rates. Traders monitoring resolution thresholds should watch for any official announcements on further iterations or a potential GPT-6 preview, as timelines can shift with scaling challenges or strategic pivots.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,328วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has maintained a rapid release cadence in 2026, shipping multiple frontier models in the GPT-5 series including GPT-5.4 in early March and GPT-5.5 in late April, followed by the GPT-5.5 Instant variant in early May that became the new ChatGPT default. These updates integrate advanced reasoning, agentic coding via Codex capabilities, and tool-use improvements, reflecting a shift toward unified, high-capability systems that outperform prior versions on benchmarks for complex tasks. This pace stems from competitive pressure in the large language model space against labs like Anthropic and Google, alongside internal focus on agentic workflows and reduced error rates. Traders monitoring resolution thresholds should watch for any official announcements on further iterations or a potential GPT-6 preview, as timelines can shift with scaling challenges or strategic pivots.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,328วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 3, 2026, 10:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI has maintained a rapid release cadence in 2026, shipping multiple frontier models in the GPT-5 series including GPT-5.4 in early March and GPT-5.5 in late April, followed by the GPT-5.5 Instant variant in early May that became the new ChatGPT default. These updates integrate advanced reasoning, agentic coding via Codex capabilities, and tool-use improvements, reflecting a shift toward unified, high-capability systems that outperform prior versions on benchmarks for complex tasks. This pace stems from competitive pressure in the large language model space against labs like Anthropic and Google, alongside internal focus on agentic workflows and reduced error rates. Traders monitoring resolution thresholds should watch for any official announcements on further iterations or a potential GPT-6 preview, as timelines can shift with scaling challenges or strategic pivots.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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