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Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

icon for Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

6% โอกาส
Polymarket
ใหม่
6% โอกาส
Polymarket
ใหม่
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify. Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's confirmed commitment to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least mid-2026 and potentially until 2028 underpins the 94% market-implied odds against him joining an AI company this year. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell publicly stated he would stay on the board pending resolution of an internal investigation, with no credible reports or announcements suggesting interest in private-sector roles at firms developing large language models or other artificial intelligence technologies. His ongoing commentary on AI's economic effects further signals continuity in public service rather than a shift to corporate AI leadership. That said, an unexpected early departure tied to regulatory scrutiny or a high-profile offer from a major AI lab could still alter the outcome before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.

Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.

Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.

An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$434
วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify. Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify. Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's confirmed commitment to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors through at least mid-2026 and potentially until 2028 underpins the 94% market-implied odds against him joining an AI company this year. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, Powell publicly stated he would stay on the board pending resolution of an internal investigation, with no credible reports or announcements suggesting interest in private-sector roles at firms developing large language models or other artificial intelligence technologies. His ongoing commentary on AI's economic effects further signals continuity in public service rather than a shift to corporate AI leadership. That said, an unexpected early departure tied to regulatory scrutiny or a high-profile offer from a major AI lab could still alter the outcome before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.

Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.

Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.

An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$434
วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify. Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น "Yes" หรือ "No" ตามความเชื่อว่าเหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้นหรือไม่ ความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนในปัจจุบันคือ 6% สำหรับ "Yes" ตัวอย่างเช่น ถ้า "Yes" มีราคา 6¢ แปลว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 6% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

"Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?" เป็นตลาดที่เพิ่งสร้างใหม่บน Polymarket เปิดเมื่อ Jul 10, 2026 ในฐานะตลาดใหม่ นี่คือโอกาสของคุณที่จะเป็นหนึ่งในนักเทรดกลุ่มแรกที่ตั้งอัตราและสร้างสัญญาณราคาเริ่มต้น คุณยังสามารถบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามปริมาณและกิจกรรมการซื้อขายเมื่อตลาดเริ่มคึกคัก

ในการเทรด "Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?" เพียงเลือกว่าคุณเชื่อว่าคำตอบคือ "Yes" หรือ "No" แต่ละฝั่งมีราคาปัจจุบันที่สะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าคุณซื้อหุ้น "Yes" และผลลัพธ์ตัดสินเป็น "Yes" แต่ละหุ้นจ่าย $1 ถ้าตัดสินเป็น "No" หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ความน่าจะเป็นปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?" คือ 6% สำหรับ "Yes" นั่นหมายความว่าฝูงชน Polymarket เชื่อว่ามีโอกาส 6% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามการเทรดจริง ให้สัญญาณที่อัปเดตต่อเนื่องว่าตลาดคาดว่าอะไรจะเกิดขึ้น

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้