Israel maintains control over roughly 60-70% of Gaza under the October 2025 ceasefire framework, including an expanding Yellow Line buffer zone, while conducting targeted strikes against Hamas operatives and infrastructure. Negotiations on phase two—centered on Hamas disarmament, IDF withdrawal, and a technocratic Palestinian administration—have stalled, with Prime Minister Netanyahu rejecting recent U.S.-backed roadmaps and insisting on verified demilitarization first. Defense officials have developed contingency plans for a major operation in Gaza City if diplomacy fails, though no such offensive has been authorized. Upcoming Israeli elections and U.S. political timelines add uncertainty, as limited strikes and incremental territorial adjustments continue without triggering full-scale ground maneuvers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$757,042 ปริมาณ
Oct 30, 2025
31 ธันวาคม
12%
$757,042 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
$107,410 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel maintains control over roughly 60-70% of Gaza under the October 2025 ceasefire framework, including an expanding Yellow Line buffer zone, while conducting targeted strikes against Hamas operatives and infrastructure. Negotiations on phase two—centered on Hamas disarmament, IDF withdrawal, and a technocratic Palestinian administration—have stalled, with Prime Minister Netanyahu rejecting recent U.S.-backed roadmaps and insisting on verified demilitarization first. Defense officials have developed contingency plans for a major operation in Gaza City if diplomacy fails, though no such offensive has been authorized. Upcoming Israeli elections and U.S. political timelines add uncertainty, as limited strikes and incremental territorial adjustments continue without triggering full-scale ground maneuvers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$757,042วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel maintains control over roughly 60-70% of Gaza under the October 2025 ceasefire framework, including an expanding Yellow Line buffer zone, while conducting targeted strikes against Hamas operatives and infrastructure. Negotiations on phase two—centered on Hamas disarmament, IDF withdrawal, and a technocratic Palestinian administration—have stalled, with Prime Minister Netanyahu rejecting recent U.S.-backed roadmaps and insisting on verified demilitarization first. Defense officials have developed contingency plans for a major operation in Gaza City if diplomacy fails, though no such offensive has been authorized. Upcoming Israeli elections and U.S. political timelines add uncertainty, as limited strikes and incremental territorial adjustments continue without triggering full-scale ground maneuvers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$757,042วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Israel maintains control over roughly 60-70% of Gaza under the October 2025 ceasefire framework, including an expanding Yellow Line buffer zone, while conducting targeted strikes against Hamas operatives and infrastructure. Negotiations on phase two—centered on Hamas disarmament, IDF withdrawal, and a technocratic Palestinian administration—have stalled, with Prime Minister Netanyahu rejecting recent U.S.-backed roadmaps and insisting on verified demilitarization first. Defense officials have developed contingency plans for a major operation in Gaza City if diplomacy fails, though no such offensive has been authorized. Upcoming Israeli elections and U.S. political timelines add uncertainty, as limited strikes and incremental territorial adjustments continue without triggering full-scale ground maneuvers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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