Recent OpenAI claims of an AI-driven resolution to the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem have dominated trader attention since September 2026, prompting CMI to issue an excited yet measured statement acknowledging the development while stressing its deliberate rules. The institute requires peer-reviewed publication, broad mathematical community acceptance, and at least two years of scrutiny before any official declaration or prize consideration, leaving the problem labeled "active" without resolution. This timeline and rigorous process explain subdued near-term odds, as historical precedent shows only the Poincaré conjecture has cleared CMI's bar after years of validation. Traders watch for peer-review updates, formal acceptance signals, or further AI-assisted breakthroughs across remaining problems like the Riemann hypothesis, with any CMI website update serving as the key catalyst.