Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken 18-year streak of annual fall launches—most recently the iPhone 17 in September 2025—bolstered by fresh April supply chain leaks detailing iPhone 18 Pro colors like Dark Cherry, design tweaks such as a smaller Dynamic Island, and production timelines targeting September unveilings alongside a rumored iPhone Fold. These reports from credible analysts align with historical patterns, where teasers emerge mid-year ahead of September events. While conviction is high, realistic challenges include potential base model delays to 2027 amid foldable prioritization, unforeseen supply disruptions, or regulatory hurdles on new hardware features, though no such issues have surfaced recently. Watch for WWDC hints or mid-summer certifications as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$88,792 ปริมาณ
$88,792 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$88,792 ปริมาณ
$88,792 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken 18-year streak of annual fall launches—most recently the iPhone 17 in September 2025—bolstered by fresh April supply chain leaks detailing iPhone 18 Pro colors like Dark Cherry, design tweaks such as a smaller Dynamic Island, and production timelines targeting September unveilings alongside a rumored iPhone Fold. These reports from credible analysts align with historical patterns, where teasers emerge mid-year ahead of September events. While conviction is high, realistic challenges include potential base model delays to 2027 amid foldable prioritization, unforeseen supply disruptions, or regulatory hurdles on new hardware features, though no such issues have surfaced recently. Watch for WWDC hints or mid-summer certifications as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,792วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken 18-year streak of annual fall launches—most recently the iPhone 17 in September 2025—bolstered by fresh April supply chain leaks detailing iPhone 18 Pro colors like Dark Cherry, design tweaks such as a smaller Dynamic Island, and production timelines targeting September unveilings alongside a rumored iPhone Fold. These reports from credible analysts align with historical patterns, where teasers emerge mid-year ahead of September events. While conviction is high, realistic challenges include potential base model delays to 2027 amid foldable prioritization, unforeseen supply disruptions, or regulatory hurdles on new hardware features, though no such issues have surfaced recently. Watch for WWDC hints or mid-summer certifications as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,792วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken 18-year streak of annual fall launches—most recently the iPhone 17 in September 2025—bolstered by fresh April supply chain leaks detailing iPhone 18 Pro colors like Dark Cherry, design tweaks such as a smaller Dynamic Island, and production timelines targeting September unveilings alongside a rumored iPhone Fold. These reports from credible analysts align with historical patterns, where teasers emerge mid-year ahead of September events. While conviction is high, realistic challenges include potential base model delays to 2027 amid foldable prioritization, unforeseen supply disruptions, or regulatory hurdles on new hardware features, though no such issues have surfaced recently. Watch for WWDC hints or mid-summer certifications as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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