Apple's established annual release cadence for flagship iPhones drives the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has sustained this September timeline for more than a decade through coordinated supply chains, chip development, and manufacturing partnerships, with production typically scaling well before public availability. Traders view this consistency as highly reliable even amid evolving hardware like advanced silicon or camera systems. While major supply disruptions, component shortages, or sudden regulatory blocks in key markets could theoretically shift timing, Apple's track record and advance planning make such outcomes improbable in the current cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว>99% โอกาส
$245,241 ปริมาณ
$245,241 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
>99% โอกาส
$245,241 ปริมาณ
$245,241 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual release cadence for flagship iPhones drives the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has sustained this September timeline for more than a decade through coordinated supply chains, chip development, and manufacturing partnerships, with production typically scaling well before public availability. Traders view this consistency as highly reliable even amid evolving hardware like advanced silicon or camera systems. While major supply disruptions, component shortages, or sudden regulatory blocks in key markets could theoretically shift timing, Apple's track record and advance planning make such outcomes improbable in the current cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$245,241วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual release cadence for flagship iPhones drives the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has sustained this September timeline for more than a decade through coordinated supply chains, chip development, and manufacturing partnerships, with production typically scaling well before public availability. Traders view this consistency as highly reliable even amid evolving hardware like advanced silicon or camera systems. While major supply disruptions, component shortages, or sudden regulatory blocks in key markets could theoretically shift timing, Apple's track record and advance planning make such outcomes improbable in the current cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$245,241วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Apple's established annual release cadence for flagship iPhones drives the overwhelming 99.9% market-implied odds of an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has sustained this September timeline for more than a decade through coordinated supply chains, chip development, and manufacturing partnerships, with production typically scaling well before public availability. Traders view this consistency as highly reliable even amid evolving hardware like advanced silicon or camera systems. While major supply disruptions, component shortages, or sudden regulatory blocks in key markets could theoretically shift timing, Apple's track record and advance planning make such outcomes improbable in the current cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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