Apple’s long-standing pattern of annual flagship smartphone launches, combined with multiple May 2026 reports from Bloomberg and industry outlets confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max for a September event, underpins the 96% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Traders are pricing in the company’s reliable fall cadence and ongoing development of premium models, even as Apple reportedly staggers the lineup by shifting standard iPhone 18 variants to spring 2027. Potential swing factors remain limited but include supply-chain hurdles for advanced components such as the rumored foldable variant or last-minute regulatory reviews, though historical precedent and current production timelines make significant delays unlikely before the typical September window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$111,245 ปริมาณ
$111,245 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$111,245 ปริมาณ
$111,245 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing pattern of annual flagship smartphone launches, combined with multiple May 2026 reports from Bloomberg and industry outlets confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max for a September event, underpins the 96% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Traders are pricing in the company’s reliable fall cadence and ongoing development of premium models, even as Apple reportedly staggers the lineup by shifting standard iPhone 18 variants to spring 2027. Potential swing factors remain limited but include supply-chain hurdles for advanced components such as the rumored foldable variant or last-minute regulatory reviews, though historical precedent and current production timelines make significant delays unlikely before the typical September window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,245วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing pattern of annual flagship smartphone launches, combined with multiple May 2026 reports from Bloomberg and industry outlets confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max for a September event, underpins the 96% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Traders are pricing in the company’s reliable fall cadence and ongoing development of premium models, even as Apple reportedly staggers the lineup by shifting standard iPhone 18 variants to spring 2027. Potential swing factors remain limited but include supply-chain hurdles for advanced components such as the rumored foldable variant or last-minute regulatory reviews, though historical precedent and current production timelines make significant delays unlikely before the typical September window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$111,247วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s long-standing pattern of annual flagship smartphone launches, combined with multiple May 2026 reports from Bloomberg and industry outlets confirming the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max for a September event, underpins the 96% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Traders are pricing in the company’s reliable fall cadence and ongoing development of premium models, even as Apple reportedly staggers the lineup by shifting standard iPhone 18 variants to spring 2027. Potential swing factors remain limited but include supply-chain hurdles for advanced components such as the rumored foldable variant or last-minute regulatory reviews, though historical precedent and current production timelines make significant delays unlikely before the typical September window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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