**Growing legislative momentum and regulatory pushback against hyperscale data centers, fueled by AI-driven electricity and water demands, underpin the 72.5% market-implied probability of at least one state enacting a moratorium by year-end.** In 2026, more than 300 data center bills have been filed across 30+ states, with at least 14 considering explicit moratoriums or pauses on permits for facilities above certain thresholds (typically 20 MW or 100 MW). New York’s legislature passed the Responsible Data Center Development Act in June 2026 imposing a one-year pause on large new data centers, followed by Governor Hochul’s July executive order launching the first statewide moratorium—establishing clear precedent that other states can follow. Pending proposals in states such as Michigan, Delaware, Georgia, and Oklahoma focus on studying grid impacts, ratepayer costs, and environmental effects before allowing further builds. Dozens of local moratoria already in effect demonstrate community-level traction that often influences state policy. Key catalysts ahead include remaining 2026 legislative sessions, gubernatorial reviews of bills, and ongoing pressure from utilities and residents over resource strain. Traders weigh these factors against historical patterns where some bills stall or face vetoes, keeping the odds elevated but below certainty given the short timeline to December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Growing legislative momentum and regulatory pushback against hyperscale data centers, fueled by AI-driven electricity and water demands, underpin the 72.5% market-implied probability of at least one state enacting a moratorium by year-end.** In 2026, more than 300 data center bills have been filed across 30+ states, with at least 14 considering explicit moratoriums or pauses on permits for facilities above certain thresholds (typically 20 MW or 100 MW). New York’s legislature passed the Responsible Data Center Development Act in June 2026 imposing a one-year pause on large new data centers, followed by Governor Hochul’s July executive order launching the first statewide moratorium—establishing clear precedent that other states can follow. Pending proposals in states such as Michigan, Delaware, Georgia, and Oklahoma focus on studying grid impacts, ratepayer costs, and environmental effects before allowing further builds. Dozens of local moratoria already in effect demonstrate community-level traction that often influences state policy. Key catalysts ahead include remaining 2026 legislative sessions, gubernatorial reviews of bills, and ongoing pressure from utilities and residents over resource strain. Traders weigh these factors against historical patterns where some bills stall or face vetoes, keeping the odds elevated but below certainty given the short timeline to December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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