The ICJ proceedings in South Africa v. Israel remain in the written pleadings stage following Israel's March 2026 counter-memorial and the court's May 2026 order setting South Africa's reply deadline for November 2027 and Israel's rejoinder for May 2029. A final merits judgment on state responsibility for genocide would require subsequent oral hearings and deliberations, timelines that historically extend well beyond 2027 even without further delays or interventions by additional states. These procedural realities underpin trader consensus favoring no finding by the market's cutoff, as no binding determination of genocidal intent or state liability has occurred despite multiple provisional measures orders and third-party filings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว12% โอกาส
$99,211 ปริมาณ
$99,211 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
12% โอกาส
$99,211 ปริมาณ
$99,211 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ proceedings in South Africa v. Israel remain in the written pleadings stage following Israel's March 2026 counter-memorial and the court's May 2026 order setting South Africa's reply deadline for November 2027 and Israel's rejoinder for May 2029. A final merits judgment on state responsibility for genocide would require subsequent oral hearings and deliberations, timelines that historically extend well beyond 2027 even without further delays or interventions by additional states. These procedural realities underpin trader consensus favoring no finding by the market's cutoff, as no binding determination of genocidal intent or state liability has occurred despite multiple provisional measures orders and third-party filings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99,211วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The ICJ proceedings in South Africa v. Israel remain in the written pleadings stage following Israel's March 2026 counter-memorial and the court's May 2026 order setting South Africa's reply deadline for November 2027 and Israel's rejoinder for May 2029. A final merits judgment on state responsibility for genocide would require subsequent oral hearings and deliberations, timelines that historically extend well beyond 2027 even without further delays or interventions by additional states. These procedural realities underpin trader consensus favoring no finding by the market's cutoff, as no binding determination of genocidal intent or state liability has occurred despite multiple provisional measures orders and third-party filings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if he International Criminal Court ("ICC"), the International Court of Justice ("ICJ"), or any ad hoc international tribunal with recognized legal standing, issues a judgment or conviction finding that either the State of Israel or any current or former Israeli official committed genocide or acts of genocide by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the judgment of an ad hoc tribunal to be relevant for purposes of this market, the tribunal must be established by the United Nations or any body thereof.
A first-instance conviction or judgment shall qualify for "Yes" resolution even if it remains subject to appeal or has not yet been affirmed on appeal.
Preliminary or provisional findings that are not judgments on the merits will not qualify for purposes of this market.
The resolution source will be official statements from the ICC, the ICJ, or a qualifying ad hoc tribunal; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99,211วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ICJ proceedings in South Africa v. Israel remain in the written pleadings stage following Israel's March 2026 counter-memorial and the court's May 2026 order setting South Africa's reply deadline for November 2027 and Israel's rejoinder for May 2029. A final merits judgment on state responsibility for genocide would require subsequent oral hearings and deliberations, timelines that historically extend well beyond 2027 even without further delays or interventions by additional states. These procedural realities underpin trader consensus favoring no finding by the market's cutoff, as no binding determination of genocidal intent or state liability has occurred despite multiple provisional measures orders and third-party filings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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