No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of “No.” Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstacles—linkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delays—prevented additional signings after Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry. Somaliland’s earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the market’s exact criteria before final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<1% โอกาส
$50,486 ปริมาณ
$50,486 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
<1% โอกาส
$50,486 ปริมาณ
$50,486 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of “No.” Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstacles—linkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delays—prevented additional signings after Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry. Somaliland’s earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the market’s exact criteria before final settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,486วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of “No.” Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstacles—linkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delays—prevented additional signings after Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry. Somaliland’s earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the market’s exact criteria before final settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,486วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of “No.” Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstacles—linkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delays—prevented additional signings after Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry. Somaliland’s earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the market’s exact criteria before final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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