**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<1% โอกาส
$56,848 ปริมาณ
$56,848 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
<1% โอกาส
$56,848 ปริมาณ
$56,848 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,848วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,848วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**No new country formally acceded to the Abraham Accords by the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects the absence of any verified signing or accession announcement in the preceding months. Kazakhstan’s November 2025 entry provided the last concrete expansion, while subsequent diplomatic activity—primarily U.S.-brokered discussions with Saudi Arabia—remained stalled over Riyadh’s insistence on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a condition Israel has not accepted. Syria and other regional actors signaled interest but produced no binding agreements within the resolution window. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include late-stage bilateral announcements tied to security pacts or U.S. pressure, though none materialized before the cutoff. The market pricing therefore captures the lack of verifiable progress on major candidates amid entrenched regional preconditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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