The rematch in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district pits Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden against Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke in an R+3 seat rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Cooke’s consistent fundraising edge—raising over $2.4 million in the first quarter of 2026 with $4.4 million cash on hand—combined with her narrow 2024 loss has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 66 percent. Van Orden’s incumbency and the district’s modest Republican lean continue to anchor Republican probabilities near 34 percent ahead of the June filing deadline, August primaries, and November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
35%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$529 ปริมาณ
65%
Republican Party
$586 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The rematch in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district pits Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden against Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke in an R+3 seat rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Cooke’s consistent fundraising edge—raising over $2.4 million in the first quarter of 2026 with $4.4 million cash on hand—combined with her narrow 2024 loss has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 66 percent. Van Orden’s incumbency and the district’s modest Republican lean continue to anchor Republican probabilities near 34 percent ahead of the June filing deadline, August primaries, and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,115วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The rematch in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district pits Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden against Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke in an R+3 seat rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Cooke’s consistent fundraising edge—raising over $2.4 million in the first quarter of 2026 with $4.4 million cash on hand—combined with her narrow 2024 loss has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 66 percent. Van Orden’s incumbency and the district’s modest Republican lean continue to anchor Republican probabilities near 34 percent ahead of the June filing deadline, August primaries, and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,115วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The rematch in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district pits Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden against Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke in an R+3 seat rated a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Cooke’s consistent fundraising edge—raising over $2.4 million in the first quarter of 2026 with $4.4 million cash on hand—combined with her narrow 2024 loss has driven trader consensus toward Democrats at 66 percent. Van Orden’s incumbency and the district’s modest Republican lean continue to anchor Republican probabilities near 34 percent ahead of the June filing deadline, August primaries, and November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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