Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a modest Republican lean reflected in its R+2 partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Randy Bryce and Mitchell Berman, have entered the August 11 primary, positioning themselves as working-class alternatives and drawing on the district’s competitive elements. Steil’s substantial fundraising lead and consistent prior victories have sustained trader consensus around a Republican edge, yet the early stage of the 2026 cycle allows national political conditions, primary outcomes, and potential shifts in voter turnout to influence the general election on November 3. The close market pricing captures uncertainty over whether Democratic efforts can overcome the structural advantages of the incumbent before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWI-01 House Election Winner
WI-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
48%
Democratic Party
40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$558 ปริมาณ
48%
Democratic Party
$402 ปริมาณ
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a modest Republican lean reflected in its R+2 partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Randy Bryce and Mitchell Berman, have entered the August 11 primary, positioning themselves as working-class alternatives and drawing on the district’s competitive elements. Steil’s substantial fundraising lead and consistent prior victories have sustained trader consensus around a Republican edge, yet the early stage of the 2026 cycle allows national political conditions, primary outcomes, and potential shifts in voter turnout to influence the general election on November 3. The close market pricing captures uncertainty over whether Democratic efforts can overcome the structural advantages of the incumbent before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$960วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a modest Republican lean reflected in its R+2 partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Randy Bryce and Mitchell Berman, have entered the August 11 primary, positioning themselves as working-class alternatives and drawing on the district’s competitive elements. Steil’s substantial fundraising lead and consistent prior victories have sustained trader consensus around a Republican edge, yet the early stage of the 2026 cycle allows national political conditions, primary outcomes, and potential shifts in voter turnout to influence the general election on November 3. The close market pricing captures uncertainty over whether Democratic efforts can overcome the structural advantages of the incumbent before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$960วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a modest Republican lean reflected in its R+2 partisan voting index. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Randy Bryce and Mitchell Berman, have entered the August 11 primary, positioning themselves as working-class alternatives and drawing on the district’s competitive elements. Steil’s substantial fundraising lead and consistent prior victories have sustained trader consensus around a Republican edge, yet the early stage of the 2026 cycle allows national political conditions, primary outcomes, and potential shifts in voter turnout to influence the general election on November 3. The close market pricing captures uncertainty over whether Democratic efforts can overcome the structural advantages of the incumbent before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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