Trader sentiment on potential arrests before 2027 centers on several high-profile political and public figures facing ongoing investigations, indictments, or legal proceedings. Key candidates include former officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside figures like Letitia James and international names such as Lee Jun-seok, with probabilities reflecting trader assessments of enforcement priorities, court timelines, and institutional actions. Recent activity ties to federal and state-level cases involving prior administrations or partisan disputes, though no major new charges or resolutions have shifted the field in the immediate term. Scheduled developments include upcoming hearings, appeals, or agency reviews that could alter outcomes within the multi-year window. Market pricing captures crowd consensus on these variables without guaranteeing results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$106,771 ปริมาณ
Lee Jun-seok
52%
John Brennan
67%
Mahmoud Khalil
31%
John Kerry
39%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
28%
Letitia James
31%
James Clapper
20%
Brandon Johnson
22%
Tom Homan
17%
Loretta Lynch
11%
Adam Schiff
11%
Anthony Fauci
9%
Hillary Clinton
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Barack Obama
6%
Benjamin Netanyahu
13%
Kash Patel
6%
Susan Rice
5%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Pam Bondi
4%
James Comey
10%
Bill Clinton
4%
Joe Biden
3%
Lisa Cook
50%
$106,771 ปริมาณ
Lee Jun-seok
$10 ปริมาณ
52%
John Brennan
$6,346 ปริมาณ
67%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,097 ปริมาณ
31%
John Kerry
$73 ปริมาณ
39%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$7,150 ปริมาณ
28%
Letitia James
$1,309 ปริมาณ
31%
James Clapper
$2,448 ปริมาณ
20%
Brandon Johnson
$1,887 ปริมาณ
22%
Tom Homan
$27,683 ปริมาณ
17%
Loretta Lynch
$351 ปริมาณ
11%
Adam Schiff
$5,935 ปริมาณ
11%
Anthony Fauci
$6,256 ปริมาณ
9%
Hillary Clinton
$13,175 ปริมาณ
8%
Candace Owens
$257 ปริมาณ
7%
Barack Obama
$946 ปริมาณ
6%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$255 ปริมาณ
13%
Kash Patel
$153 ปริมาณ
6%
Susan Rice
$212 ปริมาณ
5%
Gavin Newsom
$18,451 ปริมาณ
5%
Pam Bondi
$1,487 ปริมาณ
4%
James Comey
$9,204 ปริมาณ
10%
Bill Clinton
$331 ปริมาณ
4%
Joe Biden
$1,390 ปริมาณ
3%
Lisa Cook
$363 ปริมาณ
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on potential arrests before 2027 centers on several high-profile political and public figures facing ongoing investigations, indictments, or legal proceedings. Key candidates include former officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside figures like Letitia James and international names such as Lee Jun-seok, with probabilities reflecting trader assessments of enforcement priorities, court timelines, and institutional actions. Recent activity ties to federal and state-level cases involving prior administrations or partisan disputes, though no major new charges or resolutions have shifted the field in the immediate term. Scheduled developments include upcoming hearings, appeals, or agency reviews that could alter outcomes within the multi-year window. Market pricing captures crowd consensus on these variables without guaranteeing results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,771ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on potential arrests before 2027 centers on several high-profile political and public figures facing ongoing investigations, indictments, or legal proceedings. Key candidates include former officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside figures like Letitia James and international names such as Lee Jun-seok, with probabilities reflecting trader assessments of enforcement priorities, court timelines, and institutional actions. Recent activity ties to federal and state-level cases involving prior administrations or partisan disputes, though no major new charges or resolutions have shifted the field in the immediate term. Scheduled developments include upcoming hearings, appeals, or agency reviews that could alter outcomes within the multi-year window. Market pricing captures crowd consensus on these variables without guaranteeing results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,771ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on potential arrests before 2027 centers on several high-profile political and public figures facing ongoing investigations, indictments, or legal proceedings. Key candidates include former officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside figures like Letitia James and international names such as Lee Jun-seok, with probabilities reflecting trader assessments of enforcement priorities, court timelines, and institutional actions. Recent activity ties to federal and state-level cases involving prior administrations or partisan disputes, though no major new charges or resolutions have shifted the field in the immediate term. Scheduled developments include upcoming hearings, appeals, or agency reviews that could alter outcomes within the multi-year window. Market pricing captures crowd consensus on these variables without guaranteeing results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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