US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which established a framework for talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and regional de-escalation including Lebanon. Pakistan and Qatar have served as key mediators, facilitating technical sessions in Switzerland during June. As of mid-September 2026, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated readiness for renewed nuclear discussions provided the US lifts sanctions and ends unilateral pressure, while US officials have referenced continued implementation of prior commitments. Scheduled or potential catalysts through year-end include further working-group meetings on sanctions termination and monitoring, alongside any progress or setbacks on IAEA inspections and proxy-related ceasefires that could determine high-level participation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$567,149 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Abbas Araghchi
35%
Steve Witkoff
34%
Jared Kushner
28%
J.D. Vance
23%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
19%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
Nick Stewart
18%
Kazem Gharibabadi
16%
Ishaq Dar
16%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
13%
Mohammed bin Salman
12%
Rafael Grossi
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
10%
Marco Rubio
7%
Esmail Qaani
6%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
5%
Donald Trump
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
2%
$567,149 ปริมาณ
Abbas Araghchi
$26,790 ปริมาณ
35%
Steve Witkoff
$47,660 ปริมาณ
34%
Jared Kushner
$113,583 ปริมาณ
28%
J.D. Vance
$29,331 ปริมาณ
23%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$40,205 ปริมาณ
19%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$21,826 ปริมาณ
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$17,270 ปริมาณ
18%
Nick Stewart
$12,960 ปริมาณ
18%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$19,948 ปริมาณ
16%
Ishaq Dar
$23,835 ปริมาณ
16%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$52,101 ปริมาณ
13%
Mohammed bin Salman
$5,526 ปริมาณ
12%
Rafael Grossi
$36,303 ปริมาณ
11%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$24,252 ปริมาณ
10%
Marco Rubio
$13,864 ปริมาณ
7%
Esmail Qaani
$12,370 ปริมาณ
6%
Pete Hegseth
$20,123 ปริมาณ
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
$14,506 ปริมาณ
5%
Donald Trump
$11,489 ปริมาณ
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$23,209 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which established a framework for talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and regional de-escalation including Lebanon. Pakistan and Qatar have served as key mediators, facilitating technical sessions in Switzerland during June. As of mid-September 2026, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated readiness for renewed nuclear discussions provided the US lifts sanctions and ends unilateral pressure, while US officials have referenced continued implementation of prior commitments. Scheduled or potential catalysts through year-end include further working-group meetings on sanctions termination and monitoring, alongside any progress or setbacks on IAEA inspections and proxy-related ceasefires that could determine high-level participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$567,149วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which established a framework for talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and regional de-escalation including Lebanon. Pakistan and Qatar have served as key mediators, facilitating technical sessions in Switzerland during June. As of mid-September 2026, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated readiness for renewed nuclear discussions provided the US lifts sanctions and ends unilateral pressure, while US officials have referenced continued implementation of prior commitments. Scheduled or potential catalysts through year-end include further working-group meetings on sanctions termination and monitoring, alongside any progress or setbacks on IAEA inspections and proxy-related ceasefires that could determine high-level participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$567,149วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which established a framework for talks on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz navigation, and regional de-escalation including Lebanon. Pakistan and Qatar have served as key mediators, facilitating technical sessions in Switzerland during June. As of mid-September 2026, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated readiness for renewed nuclear discussions provided the US lifts sanctions and ends unilateral pressure, while US officials have referenced continued implementation of prior commitments. Scheduled or potential catalysts through year-end include further working-group meetings on sanctions termination and monitoring, alongside any progress or setbacks on IAEA inspections and proxy-related ceasefires that could determine high-level participation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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