Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary uses a blanket ballot in which the four highest vote-getters advance to a ranked-choice general election. Seventeen candidates are competing for the open seat left by term-limited Republican incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling averages place Democrat Tom Begich in a clear lead near 40 percent, with Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Click Bishop clustered in the mid-teens and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins also showing measurable support. Early in-person and absentee voting began August 3, with roughly 10,000 absentee requests filed. Campaigns have collectively raised nearly $9 million, with Begich and Kreiss-Tomkins posting the strongest in-state small-dollar totals. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these surveys, assigning the highest implied probabilities to Begich and the next tier of established names. No major late developments have altered the field since filing closed in June.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$235,170 ปริมาณ
Tom Begich
98%
Bernadette Wilson
86%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
82%
Dave Bronson
54%
Click Bishop
37%
Bill Walker
28%
Treg Taylor
25%
Shelley Hughes
4%
Matt Heilala
4%
Nancy Dahlstrom
3%
Adam Crum
3%
Lesil McGuire
2%
Jessica Faircloth
2%
Bruce Walden
2%
Hank Kroll
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Edna DeVries
1%
Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%
Gregg Brelsford
1%
James Parkin
<1%
$235,170 ปริมาณ
Tom Begich
98%
Bernadette Wilson
86%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
82%
Dave Bronson
54%
Click Bishop
37%
Bill Walker
28%
Treg Taylor
25%
Shelley Hughes
4%
Matt Heilala
4%
Nancy Dahlstrom
3%
Adam Crum
3%
Lesil McGuire
2%
Jessica Faircloth
2%
Bruce Walden
2%
Hank Kroll
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Edna DeVries
1%
Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%
Gregg Brelsford
1%
James Parkin
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary uses a blanket ballot in which the four highest vote-getters advance to a ranked-choice general election. Seventeen candidates are competing for the open seat left by term-limited Republican incumbent Mike Dunleavy. Recent polling averages place Democrat Tom Begich in a clear lead near 40 percent, with Republican candidates Bernadette Wilson, Dave Bronson, and Click Bishop clustered in the mid-teens and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins also showing measurable support. Early in-person and absentee voting began August 3, with roughly 10,000 absentee requests filed. Campaigns have collectively raised nearly $9 million, with Begich and Kreiss-Tomkins posting the strongest in-state small-dollar totals. Trader pricing on Polymarket aligns closely with these surveys, assigning the highest implied probabilities to Begich and the next tier of established names. No major late developments have altered the field since filing closed in June.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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