**Israeli voters head to the polls on October 27, 2026, to elect the 26th Knesset under closed-list proportional representation with a 3.25% electoral threshold.** Recent polling averages show a fragmented field where major parties such as Likud, Yashar, B'Yachad, the Democrats, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism, Yisrael Beytenu, Religious Zionism–Zehut, and the Arab lists (Joint List and Ra'am) are projected to clear the threshold and secure seats, while smaller lists like Amcha Yisrael and the Reservists–Economic Party remain near or below it in many surveys. The pro-Netanyahu and opposition blocs each hover near 51–55 seats without reaching a 61-seat majority, leaving threshold crossings, surplus-vote agreements (due October 16), and post-election coalition math as key variables. Campaign dynamics center on security assessments three years after October 7, Haredi draft legislation, and economic pressures, with polls showing modest week-to-week shifts in party support.
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