US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วประเทศใดจะดำเนินการทางทหารกับอิหร่านภายในวันที่ 30 เมษายน
ประเทศใดจะดำเนินการทางทหารกับอิหร่านภายในวันที่ 30 เมษายน
$3,651,056 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
สหราชอาณาจักร
ไม่
จอร์แดน
ไม่
แคนาดา
ไม่
กาตาร์
ไม่
ซาอุดีอาระเบีย
ไม่
คูเวต
ไม่
สหรัฐอาหรับเอมิเรตส์
ไม่
ฝรั่งเศส
ไม่
ตุรกี
ไม่
เยอรมนี
ไม่
บาห์เรน
ไม่
โอมาน
ไม่
ประเทศใดในสหภาพยุโรป
ไม่
$3,651,056 ปริมาณ
สหราชอาณาจักร
$280,515 ปริมาณ
ไม่
จอร์แดน
$34,668 ปริมาณ
ไม่
แคนาดา
$46,477 ปริมาณ
ไม่
กาตาร์
$56,438 ปริมาณ
ไม่
ซาอุดีอาระเบีย
$604,280 ปริมาณ
ไม่
คูเวต
$168,726 ปริมาณ
ไม่
สหรัฐอาหรับเอมิเรตส์
$1,848,712 ปริมาณ
ไม่
ฝรั่งเศส
$211,561 ปริมาณ
ไม่
ตุรกี
$88,956 ปริมาณ
ไม่
เยอรมนี
$133,140 ปริมาณ
ไม่
บาห์เรน
$57,368 ปริมาณ
ไม่
โอมาน
$33,086 ปริมาณ
ไม่
ประเทศใดในสหภาพยุโรป
$87,130 ปริมาณ
ไม่
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,651,056วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: ไม่
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: ไม่
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,651,056วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: ไม่
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: ไม่
US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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