Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of October, driven by its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants holding the highest arena.ai leaderboard scores around 1765 through superior performance on agentic frontend coding workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool-use tasks. Recent September updates to models like Qwen3.8-Max from Alibaba briefly challenged the top spot with preliminary scores but showed overlapping confidence intervals and far fewer votes than Anthropic entries, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants trail in the 17% range. Market odds reflect sustained Anthropic dominance on the resolving benchmark amid ongoing releases, though rapid iterations from Chinese labs could still shift positioning before the October 31 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 67%
OpenAI 18.1%
Alibaba 5.3%
Z.ai 4.7%
$54,524 ปริมาณ
$54,524 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
67%
OpenAI
18%
Alibaba
5%
Z.ai
5%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
2%
Tencent
1%
ByteDance
1%
Meta
1%
Mistral
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Anthropic 67%
OpenAI 18.1%
Alibaba 5.3%
Z.ai 4.7%
$54,524 ปริมาณ
$54,524 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$45,502 ปริมาณ
67%
OpenAI
$1,366 ปริมาณ
18%
Alibaba
$593 ปริมาณ
5%
Z.ai
$371 ปริมาณ
5%
Moonshot
$1,266 ปริมาณ
3%
SpaceXAI
$487 ปริมาณ
3%
$1,219 ปริมาณ
2%
Tencent
$410 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$396 ปริมาณ
1%
Meta
$506 ปริมาณ
1%
Mistral
$412 ปริมาณ
<1%
Poolside
$420 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$356 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$274 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$563 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of October, driven by its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants holding the highest arena.ai leaderboard scores around 1765 through superior performance on agentic frontend coding workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool-use tasks. Recent September updates to models like Qwen3.8-Max from Alibaba briefly challenged the top spot with preliminary scores but showed overlapping confidence intervals and far fewer votes than Anthropic entries, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants trail in the 17% range. Market odds reflect sustained Anthropic dominance on the resolving benchmark amid ongoing releases, though rapid iterations from Chinese labs could still shift positioning before the October 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,524วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of October, driven by its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants holding the highest arena.ai leaderboard scores around 1765 through superior performance on agentic frontend coding workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool-use tasks. Recent September updates to models like Qwen3.8-Max from Alibaba briefly challenged the top spot with preliminary scores but showed overlapping confidence intervals and far fewer votes than Anthropic entries, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants trail in the 17% range. Market odds reflect sustained Anthropic dominance on the resolving benchmark amid ongoing releases, though rapid iterations from Chinese labs could still shift positioning before the October 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,524วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability for the top Code Arena WebDev AI model by end of October, driven by its Claude Fable 5.1 Max and Opus 5 variants holding the highest arena.ai leaderboard scores around 1765 through superior performance on agentic frontend coding workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool-use tasks. Recent September updates to models like Qwen3.8-Max from Alibaba briefly challenged the top spot with preliminary scores but showed overlapping confidence intervals and far fewer votes than Anthropic entries, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants trail in the 17% range. Market odds reflect sustained Anthropic dominance on the resolving benchmark amid ongoing releases, though rapid iterations from Chinese labs could still shift positioning before the October 31 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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