OpenAI holds the highest market-implied probability at 67% for topping LiveBench mathematics by end of October, driven by its established edge in large language model reasoning and recent model iterations that have shown measurable gains on complex math benchmarks. Traders appear to weigh OpenAI's consistent track record against competitors, with Anthropic at 30.5% reflecting its own safety-focused releases and strong but secondary math performance in third-party evaluations. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others capture limited recent public demonstrations or benchmark leadership in this specific category, amid a competitive field where capability gaps can shift quickly with new model updates. Key upcoming catalysts include any October releases or LiveBench leaderboard refreshes that could alter trader consensus before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
OpenAI 67%
Anthropic 31%
Google 1.4%
Meta <1%
$17,483 ปริมาณ
$17,483 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
67%
Anthropic
31%
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
OpenAI 67%
Anthropic 31%
Google 1.4%
Meta <1%
$17,483 ปริมาณ
$17,483 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$4,505 ปริมาณ
67%
Anthropic
$3,500 ปริมาณ
31%
$1,144 ปริมาณ
1%
Meta
$501 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$475 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$286 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$390 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$858 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 ปริมาณ
<1%
SpaceXAI
$518 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$509 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$479 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$586 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$454 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$386 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$562 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$483 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$513 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$283 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$339 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$459 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”OpenAI holds the highest market-implied probability at 67% for topping LiveBench mathematics by end of October, driven by its established edge in large language model reasoning and recent model iterations that have shown measurable gains on complex math benchmarks. Traders appear to weigh OpenAI's consistent track record against competitors, with Anthropic at 30.5% reflecting its own safety-focused releases and strong but secondary math performance in third-party evaluations. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others capture limited recent public demonstrations or benchmark leadership in this specific category, amid a competitive field where capability gaps can shift quickly with new model updates. Key upcoming catalysts include any October releases or LiveBench leaderboard refreshes that could alter trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,483วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”OpenAI holds the highest market-implied probability at 67% for topping LiveBench mathematics by end of October, driven by its established edge in large language model reasoning and recent model iterations that have shown measurable gains on complex math benchmarks. Traders appear to weigh OpenAI's consistent track record against competitors, with Anthropic at 30.5% reflecting its own safety-focused releases and strong but secondary math performance in third-party evaluations. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others capture limited recent public demonstrations or benchmark leadership in this specific category, amid a competitive field where capability gaps can shift quickly with new model updates. Key upcoming catalysts include any October releases or LiveBench leaderboard refreshes that could alter trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,483วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds the highest market-implied probability at 67% for topping LiveBench mathematics by end of October, driven by its established edge in large language model reasoning and recent model iterations that have shown measurable gains on complex math benchmarks. Traders appear to weigh OpenAI's consistent track record against competitors, with Anthropic at 30.5% reflecting its own safety-focused releases and strong but secondary math performance in third-party evaluations. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and others capture limited recent public demonstrations or benchmark leadership in this specific category, amid a competitive field where capability gaps can shift quickly with new model updates. Key upcoming catalysts include any October releases or LiveBench leaderboard refreshes that could alter trader consensus before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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