Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$137,322 ปริมาณ
$137,322 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
No
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Microsoft
No
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Meta
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$137,322 ปริมาณ
$137,322 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
$10,090 ปริมาณ
No
Alibaba
$3,620 ปริมาณ
No
ByteDance
$3,795 ปริมาณ
No
Moonshot
$6,791 ปริมาณ
No
Z.ai
$6,382 ปริมาณ
No
DeepSeek
$9,593 ปริมาณ
No
Microsoft
$1,197 ปริมาณ
No
Anthropic
$42,094 ปริมาณ
Yes
OpenAI
$16,493 ปริมาณ
No
xAI
$8,278 ปริมาณ
No
Baidu
$4,255 ปริมาณ
No
Amazon
$5,670 ปริมาณ
No
Mistral
$3,713 ปริมาณ
No
Meituan
$2,997 ปริมาณ
No
Meta
$12,354 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137,322วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137,322วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย