Google's repeated delays on the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements and then slipped amid shortfalls in internal coding benchmarks—anchor trader sentiment around the next Pro release. With the last Pro update being Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and only successive Flash variants (3.6 through 3.8) shipping through early September 2026, the market shows tight odds between a late-September or early-October window and no release by November 1. Competitive pressure from faster OpenAI and Anthropic cycles, combined with Google's pivot toward Gemini 4 pretraining and partner testing of 3.5 Pro, sustains uncertainty over exact timing and whether performance thresholds will trigger a near-term launch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo release by November 1 22%
September 28–October 4 19.7%
October 12–October 18 12%
September 21–September 27 7.9%
$39,166 ปริมาณ
$39,166 ปริมาณ
Sep 6, 2026
August 31–September 6
1%
September 7–September 13
3%
September 14–September 20
6%
September 21–September 27
8%
September 28–October 4
20%
October 5–October 11
4%
October 12–October 18
12%
October 19–October 25
4%
October 26–November 1
3%
No release by November 1
22%
No release by November 1 22%
September 28–October 4 19.7%
October 12–October 18 12%
September 21–September 27 7.9%
$39,166 ปริมาณ
$39,166 ปริมาณ
Sep 6, 2026
August 31–September 6
$334 ปริมาณ
1%
September 7–September 13
$1,135 ปริมาณ
3%
September 14–September 20
$385 ปริมาณ
6%
September 21–September 27
$526 ปริมาณ
8%
September 28–October 4
$466 ปริมาณ
20%
October 5–October 11
$358 ปริมาณ
4%
October 12–October 18
$571 ปริมาณ
12%
October 19–October 25
$412 ปริมาณ
4%
October 26–November 1
$436 ปริมาณ
3%
No release by November 1
$33,765 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements and then slipped amid shortfalls in internal coding benchmarks—anchor trader sentiment around the next Pro release. With the last Pro update being Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and only successive Flash variants (3.6 through 3.8) shipping through early September 2026, the market shows tight odds between a late-September or early-October window and no release by November 1. Competitive pressure from faster OpenAI and Anthropic cycles, combined with Google's pivot toward Gemini 4 pretraining and partner testing of 3.5 Pro, sustains uncertainty over exact timing and whether performance thresholds will trigger a near-term launch.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,166วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements and then slipped amid shortfalls in internal coding benchmarks—anchor trader sentiment around the next Pro release. With the last Pro update being Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and only successive Flash variants (3.6 through 3.8) shipping through early September 2026, the market shows tight odds between a late-September or early-October window and no release by November 1. Competitive pressure from faster OpenAI and Anthropic cycles, combined with Google's pivot toward Gemini 4 pretraining and partner testing of 3.5 Pro, sustains uncertainty over exact timing and whether performance thresholds will trigger a near-term launch.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,166วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Google's repeated delays on the long-teased Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements and then slipped amid shortfalls in internal coding benchmarks—anchor trader sentiment around the next Pro release. With the last Pro update being Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and only successive Flash variants (3.6 through 3.8) shipping through early September 2026, the market shows tight odds between a late-September or early-October window and no release by November 1. Competitive pressure from faster OpenAI and Anthropic cycles, combined with Google's pivot toward Gemini 4 pretraining and partner testing of 3.5 Pro, sustains uncertainty over exact timing and whether performance thresholds will trigger a near-term launch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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