SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April followed by its May 2026 prospectus release has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 70% implied probability. Private-market tenders accelerated from an $800 billion December 2025 valuation to $1.25 trillion post-xAI merger in February, with the IPO targeting a $75 billion raise that would rank among history’s largest. Analysts cite Starlink revenue growth, Starship development milestones, and the company’s $28.5 trillion total addressable market as justification for multiples exceeding 80x forward sales, while noting accumulated losses and execution risks that cap upside beyond 2.00T. The June roadshow and listing timeline now represent the next key catalyst for final pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1.75-2.00T 70%
1.50-1.75T 12.9%
1.25-1.50T 10.3%
2.00-2.25T 8%
$152,680 ปริมาณ
$152,680 ปริมาณ
<1.25T
1%
1.25-1.50T
10%
1.50-1.75T
13%
1.75-2.00T
70%
2.00-2.25T
8%
2.25-2.50T
1%
2.50T+
2%
1.75-2.00T 70%
1.50-1.75T 12.9%
1.25-1.50T 10.3%
2.00-2.25T 8%
$152,680 ปริมาณ
$152,680 ปริมาณ
<1.25T
$62,181 ปริมาณ
1%
1.25-1.50T
$17,017 ปริมาณ
10%
1.50-1.75T
$10,737 ปริมาณ
13%
1.75-2.00T
$21,274 ปริมาณ
70%
2.00-2.25T
$15,268 ปริมาณ
8%
2.25-2.50T
$10,922 ปริมาณ
1%
2.50T+
$15,282 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April followed by its May 2026 prospectus release has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 70% implied probability. Private-market tenders accelerated from an $800 billion December 2025 valuation to $1.25 trillion post-xAI merger in February, with the IPO targeting a $75 billion raise that would rank among history’s largest. Analysts cite Starlink revenue growth, Starship development milestones, and the company’s $28.5 trillion total addressable market as justification for multiples exceeding 80x forward sales, while noting accumulated losses and execution risks that cap upside beyond 2.00T. The June roadshow and listing timeline now represent the next key catalyst for final pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,680ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April followed by its May 2026 prospectus release has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 70% implied probability. Private-market tenders accelerated from an $800 billion December 2025 valuation to $1.25 trillion post-xAI merger in February, with the IPO targeting a $75 billion raise that would rank among history’s largest. Analysts cite Starlink revenue growth, Starship development milestones, and the company’s $28.5 trillion total addressable market as justification for multiples exceeding 80x forward sales, while noting accumulated losses and execution risks that cap upside beyond 2.00T. The June roadshow and listing timeline now represent the next key catalyst for final pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$152,680ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April followed by its May 2026 prospectus release has anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T range at 70% implied probability. Private-market tenders accelerated from an $800 billion December 2025 valuation to $1.25 trillion post-xAI merger in February, with the IPO targeting a $75 billion raise that would rank among history’s largest. Analysts cite Starlink revenue growth, Starship development milestones, and the company’s $28.5 trillion total addressable market as justification for multiples exceeding 80x forward sales, while noting accumulated losses and execution risks that cap upside beyond 2.00T. The June roadshow and listing timeline now represent the next key catalyst for final pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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