Washington’s 6th congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and delivered a 56.7% victory for Democratic incumbent Emily Randall in 2024, establishing a consistent structural edge that shapes current trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. With filing closed and only limited Republican candidates such as Teresa Fox and Leon Lawson declared, no significant opposition has emerged to contest the August 4, 2026 nonpartisan primary or the November general election. This positioning reflects the district’s recent electoral history and absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics. Late developments including an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on present conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-06 House Election Winner
WA-06 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,577 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$3,137 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 6th congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and delivered a 56.7% victory for Democratic incumbent Emily Randall in 2024, establishing a consistent structural edge that shapes current trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. With filing closed and only limited Republican candidates such as Teresa Fox and Leon Lawson declared, no significant opposition has emerged to contest the August 4, 2026 nonpartisan primary or the November general election. This positioning reflects the district’s recent electoral history and absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics. Late developments including an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on present conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,714วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 6th congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and delivered a 56.7% victory for Democratic incumbent Emily Randall in 2024, establishing a consistent structural edge that shapes current trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. With filing closed and only limited Republican candidates such as Teresa Fox and Leon Lawson declared, no significant opposition has emerged to contest the August 4, 2026 nonpartisan primary or the November general election. This positioning reflects the district’s recent electoral history and absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics. Late developments including an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on present conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,714วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 6th congressional district maintains a D+10 partisan voter index and delivered a 56.7% victory for Democratic incumbent Emily Randall in 2024, establishing a consistent structural edge that shapes current trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. With filing closed and only limited Republican candidates such as Teresa Fox and Leon Lawson declared, no significant opposition has emerged to contest the August 4, 2026 nonpartisan primary or the November general election. This positioning reflects the district’s recent electoral history and absence of major shifts in voter sentiment or candidate dynamics. Late developments including an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or national political realignment could still narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on present conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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