Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the Video of the Year market at 56.5% implied probability, driven by its record-breaking first-day streams, Hot 100 dominance, and Swift’s self-directed visual that reimagines historical showgirl archetypes. The track’s massive fan engagement and Swift’s five prior wins in the category give her a clear edge in fan voting, which closes September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Madonna’s ambitious “Confessions II – The Film” and Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sit at 23%, reflecting strong industry buzz and Madonna’s record nominations but narrower voter appeal compared with Swift’s blockbuster campaign. Lower odds for Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and others underscore the tight competitive field among six nominees.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVMA Video of the Year 2026
VMA Video of the Year 2026
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 21%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) <1%
$15,305 ปริมาณ
$15,305 ปริมาณ
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
21%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
1%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
1%
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
<1%
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 21%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars) <1%
$15,305 ปริมาณ
$15,305 ปริมาณ
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)
56%
Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)
23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)
21%
I Just Might (Bruno Mars)
1%
Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)
1%
Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the Video of the Year market at 56.5% implied probability, driven by its record-breaking first-day streams, Hot 100 dominance, and Swift’s self-directed visual that reimagines historical showgirl archetypes. The track’s massive fan engagement and Swift’s five prior wins in the category give her a clear edge in fan voting, which closes September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Madonna’s ambitious “Confessions II – The Film” and Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” sit at 23%, reflecting strong industry buzz and Madonna’s record nominations but narrower voter appeal compared with Swift’s blockbuster campaign. Lower odds for Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and others underscore the tight competitive field among six nominees.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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