Incumbent Eugene Vindman holds a Democratic primary field including well-funded contenders like Dorothy McAuliffe and Dan Helmer, while Republicans feature state Sen. Tara Durant and Douglas Ollivant, but the general election tilts heavily Democratic following Virginia's April 22 redistricting map approval. The new "lobster-shaped" district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and a 2024 presidential margin of Kamala Harris +8, prompted Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Democratic on April 22, reflecting trader consensus on strong fundamentals favoring a Democratic hold despite an open-seat dynamic and crowded primaries on August 4. No recent polls exist, but historical base rates for similarly rated districts support high Democratic win probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVA-07 House Election Winner
VA-07 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
64%
Republican Party
35%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$194 ปริมาณ
64%
Republican Party
$361 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Eugene Vindman holds a Democratic primary field including well-funded contenders like Dorothy McAuliffe and Dan Helmer, while Republicans feature state Sen. Tara Durant and Douglas Ollivant, but the general election tilts heavily Democratic following Virginia's April 22 redistricting map approval. The new "lobster-shaped" district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and a 2024 presidential margin of Kamala Harris +8, prompted Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Democratic on April 22, reflecting trader consensus on strong fundamentals favoring a Democratic hold despite an open-seat dynamic and crowded primaries on August 4. No recent polls exist, but historical base rates for similarly rated districts support high Democratic win probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$555วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Eugene Vindman holds a Democratic primary field including well-funded contenders like Dorothy McAuliffe and Dan Helmer, while Republicans feature state Sen. Tara Durant and Douglas Ollivant, but the general election tilts heavily Democratic following Virginia's April 22 redistricting map approval. The new "lobster-shaped" district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and a 2024 presidential margin of Kamala Harris +8, prompted Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Democratic on April 22, reflecting trader consensus on strong fundamentals favoring a Democratic hold despite an open-seat dynamic and crowded primaries on August 4. No recent polls exist, but historical base rates for similarly rated districts support high Democratic win probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$555วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Eugene Vindman holds a Democratic primary field including well-funded contenders like Dorothy McAuliffe and Dan Helmer, while Republicans feature state Sen. Tara Durant and Douglas Ollivant, but the general election tilts heavily Democratic following Virginia's April 22 redistricting map approval. The new "lobster-shaped" district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and a 2024 presidential margin of Kamala Harris +8, prompted Cook Political Report to rate it Lean Democratic on April 22, reflecting trader consensus on strong fundamentals favoring a Democratic hold despite an open-seat dynamic and crowded primaries on August 4. No recent polls exist, but historical base rates for similarly rated districts support high Democratic win probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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