Recent monthly U.S. trade deficits have hovered near $60 billion amid mixed effects from 2025 tariffs, which initially curbed imports and narrowed the annual gap substantially versus 2025 levels, and the February 2026 Supreme Court decision striking down several global levies that has since boosted import rebounds. Exports have risen with energy shipments and other categories, while the services surplus provides ongoing support. These policy shifts, combined with dollar movements, supply-chain adjustments, and domestic demand trends, leave trader consensus tightly split between the 800–900 billion and 900 billion–1 trillion brackets as the year progresses, with scheduled data releases and any further trade-policy developments likely to influence the final tally.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS Trade Deficit in 2026?
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
$21,010 ปริมาณ
$21,010 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
7%
500–600B
4%
600–700B
4%
700–800B
8%
800–900B
46%
900B–1T
41%
1T–1.1T
6%
1.1T+
5%
$21,010 ปริมาณ
$21,010 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
$16,638 ปริมาณ
7%
500–600B
$413 ปริมาณ
4%
600–700B
$435 ปริมาณ
4%
700–800B
$456 ปริมาณ
8%
800–900B
$1,008 ปริมาณ
46%
900B–1T
$979 ปริมาณ
41%
1T–1.1T
$447 ปริมาณ
6%
1.1T+
$635 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. trade deficits have hovered near $60 billion amid mixed effects from 2025 tariffs, which initially curbed imports and narrowed the annual gap substantially versus 2025 levels, and the February 2026 Supreme Court decision striking down several global levies that has since boosted import rebounds. Exports have risen with energy shipments and other categories, while the services surplus provides ongoing support. These policy shifts, combined with dollar movements, supply-chain adjustments, and domestic demand trends, leave trader consensus tightly split between the 800–900 billion and 900 billion–1 trillion brackets as the year progresses, with scheduled data releases and any further trade-policy developments likely to influence the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,010วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. trade deficits have hovered near $60 billion amid mixed effects from 2025 tariffs, which initially curbed imports and narrowed the annual gap substantially versus 2025 levels, and the February 2026 Supreme Court decision striking down several global levies that has since boosted import rebounds. Exports have risen with energy shipments and other categories, while the services surplus provides ongoing support. These policy shifts, combined with dollar movements, supply-chain adjustments, and domestic demand trends, leave trader consensus tightly split between the 800–900 billion and 900 billion–1 trillion brackets as the year progresses, with scheduled data releases and any further trade-policy developments likely to influence the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,010วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly U.S. trade deficits have hovered near $60 billion amid mixed effects from 2025 tariffs, which initially curbed imports and narrowed the annual gap substantially versus 2025 levels, and the February 2026 Supreme Court decision striking down several global levies that has since boosted import rebounds. Exports have risen with energy shipments and other categories, while the services surplus provides ongoing support. These policy shifts, combined with dollar movements, supply-chain adjustments, and domestic demand trends, leave trader consensus tightly split between the 800–900 billion and 900 billion–1 trillion brackets as the year progresses, with scheduled data releases and any further trade-policy developments likely to influence the final tally.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย