In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วColin Allred 79%
Julie Johnson 23%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$72,541 ปริมาณ
$72,541 ปริมาณ
Colin Allred
79%
Julie Johnson
23%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 79%
Julie Johnson 23%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$72,541 ปริมาณ
$72,541 ปริมาณ
Colin Allred
79%
Julie Johnson
23%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus heavily favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 77% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson at 26%, reflecting his 11-point first-round lead on March 3 in the redrawn Dallas-area district, superior fundraising ($6.4 million raised versus Johnson's $2.1 million), and key endorsements including Texas AFL-CIO, Rep. Jasmine Crockett—who is door-knocking this weekend—and Carlos Quintanilla. Allred launched his first paid digital ad on May 8 calling to abolish ICE, countering Johnson's attacks on his support for ICE-related measures like the Laken Riley Act. High turnout among the district's 55% Hispanic voters could tip this intraparty contest in the safely Democratic seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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