In the open TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, trader consensus prices Tom Sell at 97% implied probability to succeed retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington, reflecting his commanding 40% first-place finish in the March 3 primary—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 19%—along with a fundraising edge and GOPAC endorsement. A recent April Harper poll showed Sell leading Enriquez 57-17% among likely voters, reinforcing his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican district spanning West Texas. While a May 12 debate offers Enriquez a platform, late-breaking scandals, a major endorsement shift like from former President Trump, or unexpected turnout favoring rural voters could challenge Sell's lock, though historical runoff patterns favor primary leaders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-19 Republican Primary Winner
TX-19 Republican Primary Winner
Tom Sell 97.7%
Abraham Enriquez 2.8%
Matthew Smith <1%
Ryan Zink <1%
$72,383 ปริมาณ
$72,383 ปริมาณ
Tom Sell
98%
Abraham Enriquez
3%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Ryan Zink
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
Tom Sell 97.7%
Abraham Enriquez 2.8%
Matthew Smith <1%
Ryan Zink <1%
$72,383 ปริมาณ
$72,383 ปริมาณ
Tom Sell
98%
Abraham Enriquez
3%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Ryan Zink
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open TX-19 Republican primary runoff on May 26, trader consensus prices Tom Sell at 97% implied probability to succeed retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington, reflecting his commanding 40% first-place finish in the March 3 primary—more than double Abraham Enriquez's 19%—along with a fundraising edge and GOPAC endorsement. A recent April Harper poll showed Sell leading Enriquez 57-17% among likely voters, reinforcing his frontrunner status in this solidly Republican district spanning West Texas. While a May 12 debate offers Enriquez a platform, late-breaking scandals, a major endorsement shift like from former President Trump, or unexpected turnout favoring rural voters could challenge Sell's lock, though historical runoff patterns favor primary leaders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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