Tesla shares have tumbled 35% year-to-date amid a Q1 delivery miss of 386,810 units versus 457,000 consensus estimates, signaling weakening EV demand amid elevated interest rates and BYD competition in China. Trading around $164 as of March 15 close, Polymarket odds imply low trader confidence in surpassing the [threshold] on March 16, with market-implied probability reflecting bearish sentiment driven by post-CPI hawkishness curbing rate-cut bets ahead of the March 20 FOMC. Watch Nasdaq correlation and Elon Musk commentary for volatility; historical intra-month rebounds average 2-3%, but macroeconomic caution dominates positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$7,261 ปริมาณ
Mar 16, 2026
$380
Yes
$390
Yes
$400
No
$410
No
$420
No
$7,261 ปริมาณ
$380
$3,038 ปริมาณ
Yes
$390
$0 ปริมาณ
Yes
$400
$1,367 ปริมาณ
No
$410
$0 ปริมาณ
No
$420
$2,855 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 16 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares have tumbled 35% year-to-date amid a Q1 delivery miss of 386,810 units versus 457,000 consensus estimates, signaling weakening EV demand amid elevated interest rates and BYD competition in China. Trading around $164 as of March 15 close, Polymarket odds imply low trader confidence in surpassing the [threshold] on March 16, with market-implied probability reflecting bearish sentiment driven by post-CPI hawkishness curbing rate-cut bets ahead of the March 20 FOMC. Watch Nasdaq correlation and Elon Musk commentary for volatility; historical intra-month rebounds average 2-3%, but macroeconomic caution dominates positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 16 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,261วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 16 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares have tumbled 35% year-to-date amid a Q1 delivery miss of 386,810 units versus 457,000 consensus estimates, signaling weakening EV demand amid elevated interest rates and BYD competition in China. Trading around $164 as of March 15 close, Polymarket odds imply low trader confidence in surpassing the [threshold] on March 16, with market-implied probability reflecting bearish sentiment driven by post-CPI hawkishness curbing rate-cut bets ahead of the March 20 FOMC. Watch Nasdaq correlation and Elon Musk commentary for volatility; historical intra-month rebounds average 2-3%, but macroeconomic caution dominates positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 16 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,261วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Tesla shares have tumbled 35% year-to-date amid a Q1 delivery miss of 386,810 units versus 457,000 consensus estimates, signaling weakening EV demand amid elevated interest rates and BYD competition in China. Trading around $164 as of March 15 close, Polymarket odds imply low trader confidence in surpassing the [threshold] on March 16, with market-implied probability reflecting bearish sentiment driven by post-CPI hawkishness curbing rate-cut bets ahead of the March 20 FOMC. Watch Nasdaq correlation and Elon Musk commentary for volatility; historical intra-month rebounds average 2-3%, but macroeconomic caution dominates positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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