Recent national polls through early July place President Trump's job approval in the 35-40% range, with aggregates near 37% amid steady disapproval above 55%, anchoring trader expectations for the July 17 reading near current levels. Limited movement in the past week reflects the absence of major legislative or economic catalysts that could shift independent or swing voter sentiment. The tight distribution across sub-39% and low-40% bins stems from polling variability across firms and the short resolution window, where minor sampling differences or late data releases can determine the final figure. Scheduled economic reports or administration announcements before mid-month remain the primary variables that could widen separation in either direction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว39.5–39.9 100.0%
<39.0 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$20,365 ปริมาณ
$20,365 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
<39.0
No
39.0–39.4
No
39.5–39.9
Yes
40.0–40.4
No
40.5–40.9
No
41.0+
No
39.5–39.9 100.0%
<39.0 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$20,365 ปริมาณ
$20,365 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
<39.0
$2,227 ปริมาณ
No
39.0–39.4
$4,375 ปริมาณ
No
39.5–39.9
$5,880 ปริมาณ
Yes
40.0–40.4
$4,149 ปริมาณ
No
40.5–40.9
$2,393 ปริมาณ
No
41.0+
$1,340 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls through early July place President Trump's job approval in the 35-40% range, with aggregates near 37% amid steady disapproval above 55%, anchoring trader expectations for the July 17 reading near current levels. Limited movement in the past week reflects the absence of major legislative or economic catalysts that could shift independent or swing voter sentiment. The tight distribution across sub-39% and low-40% bins stems from polling variability across firms and the short resolution window, where minor sampling differences or late data releases can determine the final figure. Scheduled economic reports or administration announcements before mid-month remain the primary variables that could widen separation in either direction.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,365วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls through early July place President Trump's job approval in the 35-40% range, with aggregates near 37% amid steady disapproval above 55%, anchoring trader expectations for the July 17 reading near current levels. Limited movement in the past week reflects the absence of major legislative or economic catalysts that could shift independent or swing voter sentiment. The tight distribution across sub-39% and low-40% bins stems from polling variability across firms and the short resolution window, where minor sampling differences or late data releases can determine the final figure. Scheduled economic reports or administration announcements before mid-month remain the primary variables that could widen separation in either direction.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,365วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent national polls through early July place President Trump's job approval in the 35-40% range, with aggregates near 37% amid steady disapproval above 55%, anchoring trader expectations for the July 17 reading near current levels. Limited movement in the past week reflects the absence of major legislative or economic catalysts that could shift independent or swing voter sentiment. The tight distribution across sub-39% and low-40% bins stems from polling variability across firms and the short resolution window, where minor sampling differences or late data releases can determine the final figure. Scheduled economic reports or administration announcements before mid-month remain the primary variables that could widen separation in either direction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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