Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking commands 100% trader consensus as the top AI model on April 17 in the Style Control On category of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena, holding a dominant 1504 Elo score from over 16,000 human preference battles—well ahead of Gemini 2.5 Pro and xAI's Grok 4.20 Beta1 at around 1486 Elo. This positioning stems from its February 2026 launch and early April surge to #1, bolstered by superior reasoning and style adherence in real-world prompts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While locked in amid market close, realistic challenges include late-day vote influxes favoring yesterday's Claude Opus 4.7 release, which topped Code Arena today, or leaderboard recount adjustments potentially flipping the narrow Elo gaps.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วclaude-opus-4-6-thinking 100.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview <1%
qwen3.5-max-preview <1%
claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k <1%
$58,712 ปริมาณ
$58,712 ปริมาณ
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
Yes
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
No
qwen3.5-max-preview
No
claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k
No
gemini-2.5-pro
No
muse-spark
No
claude-opus-4-6
No
dola-seed-2.0-preview
No
gpt-5.4-high
No
gemini-3-pro
No
grok-4.20-beta1
No
grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning
No
gemini-3-flash
No
kimi-k2.5-thinking
No
gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210
No
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 100.0%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview <1%
qwen3.5-max-preview <1%
claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k <1%
$58,712 ปริมาณ
$58,712 ปริมาณ
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
Yes
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
No
qwen3.5-max-preview
No
claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k
No
gemini-2.5-pro
No
muse-spark
No
claude-opus-4-6
No
dola-seed-2.0-preview
No
gpt-5.4-high
No
gemini-3-pro
No
grok-4.20-beta1
No
grok-4.20-beta-0309-reasoning
No
gemini-3-flash
No
kimi-k2.5-thinking
No
gpt-5.2-chat-latest-20260210
No
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 9, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 Thinking commands 100% trader consensus as the top AI model on April 17 in the Style Control On category of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena, holding a dominant 1504 Elo score from over 16,000 human preference battles—well ahead of Gemini 2.5 Pro and xAI's Grok 4.20 Beta1 at around 1486 Elo. This positioning stems from its February 2026 launch and early April surge to #1, bolstered by superior reasoning and style adherence in real-world prompts, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets. While locked in amid market close, realistic challenges include late-day vote influxes favoring yesterday's Claude Opus 4.7 release, which topped Code Arena today, or leaderboard recount adjustments potentially flipping the narrow Elo gaps.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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