The closely matched probabilities around 50% for several outcomes reflect intense competition for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard, where Anthropic’s Claude variants currently dominate the top ranks through superior chain-of-thought reasoning on large language models. Chinese labs such as Alibaba (Qwen3.8 series) and Meituan have posted notable recent gains in math benchmarks via specialized training data and fine-tuning, positioning them ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Z.ai’s GLM models, and Google’s Gemini releases in trader-implied odds. Incremental capability jumps from high-quality math corpora and compute scale continue to shift relative standings rapidly, with key catalysts including any additional model updates before the end-of-October resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Alibaba 24%
Meituan 20.7%
OpenAI 13%
Google 11%
$27,050 ปริมาณ
$27,050 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
24%
Meituan
21%
OpenAI
13%
11%
Z.ai
10%
Nvidia
11%
Moonshot
4%
Anthropic
2%
Meta
1%
Baidu
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Tencent
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Amazon
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Alibaba 24%
Meituan 20.7%
OpenAI 13%
Google 11%
$27,050 ปริมาณ
$27,050 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
Alibaba
$9,935 ปริมาณ
24%
Meituan
$1,198 ปริมาณ
21%
OpenAI
$918 ปริมาณ
13%
$8,329 ปริมาณ
11%
Z.ai
$766 ปริมาณ
10%
Nvidia
$616 ปริมาณ
11%
Moonshot
$565 ปริมาณ
4%
Anthropic
$368 ปริมาณ
2%
Meta
$347 ปริมาณ
1%
Baidu
$412 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$364 ปริมาณ
1%
Tencent
$389 ปริมาณ
1%
SpaceXAI
$348 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$347 ปริมาณ
1%
Amazon
$329 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$399 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bytedance
$431 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$414 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$302 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$271 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched probabilities around 50% for several outcomes reflect intense competition for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard, where Anthropic’s Claude variants currently dominate the top ranks through superior chain-of-thought reasoning on large language models. Chinese labs such as Alibaba (Qwen3.8 series) and Meituan have posted notable recent gains in math benchmarks via specialized training data and fine-tuning, positioning them ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Z.ai’s GLM models, and Google’s Gemini releases in trader-implied odds. Incremental capability jumps from high-quality math corpora and compute scale continue to shift relative standings rapidly, with key catalysts including any additional model updates before the end-of-October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,050วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched probabilities around 50% for several outcomes reflect intense competition for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard, where Anthropic’s Claude variants currently dominate the top ranks through superior chain-of-thought reasoning on large language models. Chinese labs such as Alibaba (Qwen3.8 series) and Meituan have posted notable recent gains in math benchmarks via specialized training data and fine-tuning, positioning them ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Z.ai’s GLM models, and Google’s Gemini releases in trader-implied odds. Incremental capability jumps from high-quality math corpora and compute scale continue to shift relative standings rapidly, with key catalysts including any additional model updates before the end-of-October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,050วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around 50% for several outcomes reflect intense competition for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard, where Anthropic’s Claude variants currently dominate the top ranks through superior chain-of-thought reasoning on large language models. Chinese labs such as Alibaba (Qwen3.8 series) and Meituan have posted notable recent gains in math benchmarks via specialized training data and fine-tuning, positioning them ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Z.ai’s GLM models, and Google’s Gemini releases in trader-implied odds. Incremental capability jumps from high-quality math corpora and compute scale continue to shift relative standings rapidly, with key catalysts including any additional model updates before the end-of-October resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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