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The Thiel Parlay

icon for The Thiel Parlay

The Thiel Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022: 1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate 4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true. ----------------------------------------------------- Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off. Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party. Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market. The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to. Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used. This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022:

1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election
2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election
3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate
4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true.

-----------------------------------------------------

Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off.

Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party.

Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to.

Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,218
วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 8, 2022
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 3, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022: 1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate 4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true. ----------------------------------------------------- Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off. Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party. Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market. The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to. Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used. This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No

ไม่มีการคัดค้าน

ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022: 1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate 4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true. ----------------------------------------------------- Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off. Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party. Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market. The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to. Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used. This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022:

1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election
2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election
3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate
4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true.

-----------------------------------------------------

Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off.

Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party.

Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to.

Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,218
วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 8, 2022
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 3, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022: 1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate 4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. House Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If one or more of the above enumerated conditions is false, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" only if every one of the above 4 enumerated conditions is true. ----------------------------------------------------- Peter Thiel is a German-American billionaire entrepreneur and political activist who is well-known for pumping money into conservative and Republican causes. Mr. Thiel has openly supported GOP candidates J.D. Vance and Blake Masters in their respective U.S. Senate races, and is pulling for Republican control of both houses of the U.S. Congress. This is a market on whether a profile of Mr. Thiel's political gambles pay off. Control of a seat in the House of Representatives shall be determined solely by the ballot-listed affiliation of the person elected to that seat in the 2022 general election. Control of a seat in the Senate that is contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the ballot-listed party affiliation of the individual elected to that seat. An elected Senator who does not have a ballot-listed affiliation with either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered to be affiliated with one party or the other if on Election Day that person a) is an incumbent Senator who is a member of that party’s caucus; or b) is not an incumbent Senator but has most recently publicly stated the intention to caucus with that party. Control of a seat in the Senate not contested in the 2022 general election shall be determined by the caucus affiliation of the incumbent as of 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election. In the event a Senate seat is vacant at 12:00 AM ET on the day of the 2022 US general election, and not subject to election on that date, that seat shall not be considered toward the resolution of this market. The controlling party of the Senate is defined as the party to which a majority of Senators belong to, or if the Senate is split 50-50 between two parties, the party with which the vice president is affiliated with between those two parties. The controlling party of the House is defined as the party to which a majority of House members belong to. Elected members of the House of Representatives who are without full voting rights (e.g. "delegates”, “resident commissioners”) do not count toward the 435 members considered for the resolution of this market.This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used. This market will resolve after the results of the 2022 general elections are made publicly available, based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, final state election authority certifications or other final official determinations of the 2022 election results may be used.

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No

ไม่มีการคัดค้าน

ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"The Thiel Parlay" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น "Yes" หรือ "No" ตามความเชื่อว่าเหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้นหรือไม่ ความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนในปัจจุบันคือ 0% สำหรับ "Yes" ตัวอย่างเช่น ถ้า "Yes" มีราคา 0¢ แปลว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 0% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

ณ วันนี้ "The Thiel Parlay" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $27.2K ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ Nov 4, 2022 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง

ในการเทรด "The Thiel Parlay" เพียงเลือกว่าคุณเชื่อว่าคำตอบคือ "Yes" หรือ "No" แต่ละฝั่งมีราคาปัจจุบันที่สะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าคุณซื้อหุ้น "Yes" และผลลัพธ์ตัดสินเป็น "Yes" แต่ละหุ้นจ่าย $1 ถ้าตัดสินเป็น "No" หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ความน่าจะเป็นปัจจุบันสำหรับ "The Thiel Parlay" คือ 0% สำหรับ "Yes" นั่นหมายความว่าฝูงชน Polymarket เชื่อว่ามีโอกาส 0% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามการเทรดจริง ให้สัญญาณที่อัปเดตต่อเนื่องว่าตลาดคาดว่าอะไรจะเกิดขึ้น

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "The Thiel Parlay" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้